Lol · resolved market
League of Legends: Invictus Gaming vs. EDward Gaming
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8cd1afe2c7fb1867df2756fe93338b6bf034b880a23a39d9e68fdc756f26c295
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Invictus Gamingof Invictus Gaming, EDward Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,609
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,473
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,609 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed EDward Gaming | 15c | 9,861$1,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,436.31 | 364 | 33.8%123 W · 241 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed EDward Gaming | 13c | 7,739$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.03 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked EDward Gaming | 14c | 3,873$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.27 | 303 | 21.8%66 W · 237 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed EDward Gaming | 1c | 3,374$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.09 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf1…3db0backed EDward Gaming | 4c | 1,350$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 216 | 29.2%63 W · 153 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ca…7929backed EDward Gaming | 13c | 1,214$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.88 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb600…59f1backed EDward Gaming | 7c | 1,122$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed EDward Gaming | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 538 | 29.4%158 W · 380 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked EDward Gaming | 11c | 999.98$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…5928backed EDward Gaming | 3c | 685.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 417 | 43.9%183 W · 234 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…a26ebacked EDward Gaming | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 363 | 31.1%113 W · 250 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed EDward Gaming | 14c | 660$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.1 | 102 | 28.4%29 W · 73 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed EDward Gaming | 2c | 611$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed EDward Gaming | 9c | 603.59$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.32 | 183 | 40.4%74 W · 109 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked EDward Gaming | 13c | 600$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 109 | 34.9%38 W · 71 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed EDward Gaming | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 388 | 37.4%145 W · 243 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4a…048ebacked EDward Gaming | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1238…935fbacked EDward Gaming | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e89…bb29backed EDward Gaming | 4c | 420$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 140 | 54.3%76 W · 64 L | +11.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed EDward Gaming | 12c | 239.27$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.23 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32f0…564cbacked EDward Gaming | 12c | 201.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 363 | 31.1%113 W · 250 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed EDward Gaming | 13c | 196$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 441 | 28.1%124 W · 317 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec41…1134backed EDward Gaming | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 246 | 55.7%137 W · 109 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…31d3backed EDward Gaming | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed EDward Gaming | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 596 | 47.7%284 W · 312 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.