WNBA · resolved market
Fever vs Liberty
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x902e801b6ee62989936ec2361aecea0267501d99999d1d01d15a7b1dba450dd2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Libertyof Fever, Liberty
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,676
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,749
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,676 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Fever | 2c | 17,696$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.71 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Fever | 2c | 8,943$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.87 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Fever | 19c | 8,053$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530.01 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Fever | 21c | 6,094$1,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280.62 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Fever | 2c | 5,205$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.1 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Liberty | 79c | 5,035$4,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.77 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Fever | 23c | 3,316$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Fever | 3c | 2,770$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.86 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Fever | 22c | 2,366$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.44 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Liberty | 78c | 2,050$1,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Fever | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Fever | 5c | 1,861$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.05 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0416…9b31backed Liberty | 79c | 1,796$1,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Fever | 21c | 1,141$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.2 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Fever | 19c | 984$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.8 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Liberty | 77c | 967.42$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.51 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Liberty | 75c | 966$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Fever | 19c | 800$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdefa…d306backed Liberty | 78c | 646.49$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Fever | 3c | 600$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 232 | 34.5%80 W · 152 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Fever | 22c | 458.03$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.64 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Fever | 22c | 447.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Liberty | 77c | 413.54$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.36 | 124 | 63.7%79 W · 45 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Fever | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Fever | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Fever | 23c | 384.04$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.76 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Liberty | 80c | 365$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -8.3wins | -0.27per pick | 65cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Liberty | 79c | 234$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.14 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Fever | 21c | 200.37$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.98 | 128 | 33.6%43 W · 85 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked Fever | 21c | 134.15$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.17 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Fever | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed Liberty | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Fever | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x490c…3093backed Fever | 21c | 95.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Fever | 23c | 92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.87 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Liberty | 67c | 91.17$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.14 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Fever | 22c | 90$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51a1…1467backed Fever | 23c | 86.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -60%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd58c…cfc7backed Fever | 23c | 78.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca8…3e59backed Fever | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Fever | 20c | 54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa4…e40abacked Liberty | 79c | 53.67$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2c…4ae8backed Fever | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50f3…c2c2backed Fever | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Liberty | 77c | 47.83$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc971…7be7backed Liberty | 77c | 41$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Fever | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1f…62f3backed Liberty | 79c | 37.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Liberty | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…021fbacked Liberty | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 74cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.