Tweets · resolved market
Will Trump tweet 90 or more times Oct 25 - Nov 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5831edbb85d2d22c899fe493ffed5893b242f361dc2828b8f1c3427d288e62ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,052
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,701
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,052 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa660…3ebbbacked Yes | 19c | 3,501$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.81 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13cb…a48abacked Yes | 16c | 1,733$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.21 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed No | 78c | 1,716$1,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.89 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…ead9backed Yes | 26c | 1,557$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.45 | 186 | 18.3%34 W · 152 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac6…82a6backed Yes | 13c | 1,421$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.04 | 184 | 12%22 W · 162 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 6c | 1,391$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.02 | 84 | 23.8%20 W · 64 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe35d…f5d5backed No | 72c | 1,363$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.43 | 656 | 23.2%152 W · 504 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f69…f07ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,325$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 52 | 9.6%5 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -56%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77e5…e83cbacked Yes | 15c | 1,162$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0da…a7babacked Yes | 39c | 1,139$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.41 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…f634backed Yes | 1c | 1,130$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e99…9206backed Yes | 23c | 1,097$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 34cpaid | +155.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98cb…bd72backed No | 60c | 1,000$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…1292backed Yes | 35c | 915.54$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.41 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +165%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc408…4675backed Yes | 28c | 876.15$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.32 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f2…7862backed No | 16c | 820.53$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.69 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +10.2wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed No | 52c | 795.7$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.75 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | +10.5wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…5fa9backed Yes | 10c | 727.88$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.29 | 172 | 16.9%29 W · 143 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9595…1b16backed Yes | 31c | 639$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.61 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac18…7366backed No | 70c | 634.49$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70de…db94backed No | 70c | 550$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166 | 105 | 27.6%29 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…e209backed Yes | 24c | 500$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.32 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0887…b235backed Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79b4…c276backed Yes | 20c | 499.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23bf…578bbacked No | 77c | 473.7$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.72 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc8…35aebacked Yes | 24c | 448.43$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc98a…2a0cbacked Yes | 26c | 438.51$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5091…23e9backed Yes | 30c | 415.82$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.16 | 112 | 31.3%35 W · 77 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…1d52backed Yes | 19c | 410.22$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.42 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 28cpaid | +109.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…f6c1backed Yes | 17c | 383.51$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 17c | 375.69$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.54 | 797 | 35.9%286 W · 511 L | -34.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1786…5b47backed Yes | 30c | 341$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba5…a431backed Yes | 76c | 328.95$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d2…4f4bbacked Yes | 20c | 300$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76e4…c5aebacked Yes | 20c | 298.79$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.76 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc916…715abacked No | 79c | 294.36$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…3797backed Yes | 20c | 262.35$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.04 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b50…6c55backed Yes | 32c | 261.78$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.52 | 60 | 16.7%10 W · 50 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdd…0b07backed Yes | 28c | 250$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd3…b78dbacked Yes | 33c | 235.94$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 22cpaid | +403.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5023…3f6abacked Yes | 45c | 230$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | +104%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8564…4b2ebacked Yes | 24c | 221.79$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.15 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd77…84edbacked Yes | 22c | 216.19$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.77 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4092…f145backed Yes | 40c | 215$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7aa…608bbacked No | 60c | 214.45$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…3a51backed Yes | 12c | 203.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.73 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12e1…51f6backed Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 75 | 12%9 W · 66 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd70…d270backed No | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 751 | 22.2%167 W · 584 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac6…2192backed Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +85.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…740fbacked No | 62c | 199.99$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb389…a445backed Yes | 27c | 185.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2459…8d76backed Yes | 20c | 155.7$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.73 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2967…4ae7backed Yes | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeaa…6bf0backed No | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb16e…a134backed Yes | 11c | 137.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2027…6d60backed No | 39c | 127$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.22 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…87fbbacked Yes | 21c | 120.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed Yes | 20c | 118.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.82 | 170 | 12.9%22 W · 148 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x030a…0994backed Yes | 28c | 116.4$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.81 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6845…c125backed Yes | 11c | 115.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 846 | 16.4%139 W · 707 L | +24.6wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Yes | 13c | 111.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -79%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x893e…6b47backed Yes | 45c | 110.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec6…4f34backed Yes | 55c | 104.1$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.74 | 58 | 12.1%7 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4d…cd61backed Yes | 20c | 101$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec7…c00abacked Yes | 35c | 94.03$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed Yes | 16c | 91.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 102 | 24.5%25 W · 77 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…7504backed No | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…7776backed Yes | 38c | 90$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 18cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4735…bf9bbacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +377.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf55…9acebacked Yes | 25c | 81.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b2…aa53backed Yes | 63c | 79.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…ff3abacked Yes | 38c | 77.74$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…d194backed Yes | 40c | 77$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.07 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32b8…2c09backed Yes | 24c | 73.48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +82.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…49febacked No | 76c | 70$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacd1…972abacked Yes | 15c | 69.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e63…22fabacked Yes | 31c | 64.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed49…ebb9backed No | 74c | 64.24$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd941…a1d0backed Yes | 32c | 61.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33b5…88bfbacked Yes | 44c | 56.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a1…ad7bbacked Yes | 29c | 55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8c…183dbacked Yes | 20c | 54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc369…4e87backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 80 | 13.8%11 W · 69 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | +52%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed No | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd7…5863backed No | 71c | 42.09$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0570…f927backed No | 69c | 37.51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fb…2bfdbacked No | 69c | 36.41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.41 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…3c94backed Yes | 33c | 32.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -4.3wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…76acbacked Yes | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5053…2966backed Yes | 66c | 26.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +191.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…328bbacked Yes | 57c | 26.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5b…7b54backed No | 77c | 24.12$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump tweet 90 or more times Oct 25 - Nov 1?this page
- Will Trump tweet 10-19 times Oct 25 - Nov 1?No won
- Will Trump tweet 20-29 times Oct 25 - Nov 1?No won
- Will Trump tweet 30-39 times Oct 25 - Nov 1?No won
- Will Trump tweet 40-49 times Oct 25 - Nov 1?No won
- Will Trump tweet 50-59 times Oct 25 - Nov 1?No won
- Will Trump tweet 60-69 times Oct 25 - Nov 1?No won
- Will Trump tweet 70-79 times Oct 25 - Nov 1?No won
- Will Trump tweet 80-89 times Oct 25 - Nov 1?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.