Fifa International · resolved market
Copa America: Uruguay vs. Brazil - Who will advance?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf929b8b9e0d020b96acc2303216dccc682f506dccdb7eea7a4bd0c3a3de9434
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Uruguayof Uruguay, Brazil
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,630
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,175
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,630 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Uruguay | 48c | 13,000$6,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,789.97 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Brazil | 51c | 7,177$3,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,660.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Brazil | 53c | 5,514$2,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,922.31 | 168 | 35.1%59 W · 109 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…f823backed Uruguay | 47c | 4,853$2,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,572.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c0…6b87backed Uruguay | 66c | 3,243$2,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c11…107bbacked Brazil | 53c | 3,039$1,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,609.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed Uruguay | 49c | 2,222$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.22 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Brazil | 52c | 1,228$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.72 | 218 | 36.2%79 W · 139 L | -19.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca62…fbfabacked Uruguay | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Uruguay | 47c | 750$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Brazil | 53c | 600$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 138 | 26.1%36 W · 102 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1dc…7283backed Brazil | 52c | 600$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb0…e595backed Brazil | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe41a…a42dbacked Uruguay | 46c | 496.22$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6757…998dbacked Uruguay | 48c | 463.47$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Uruguay | 47c | 454.99$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a4…cdb7backed Brazil | 37c | 420.45$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc21…113bbacked Uruguay | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3af0…2f0bbacked Brazil | 53c | 377.9$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…1095backed Uruguay | 47c | 362.73$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.14 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec4…0638backed Brazil | 54c | 296.22$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…f2f1backed Brazil | 53c | 274.02$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2284…ac52backed Brazil | 53c | 261.76$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Uruguay | 58c | 251.3$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.51 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…cb78backed Uruguay | 49c | 226.66$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.43 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf9…e3e8backed Uruguay | 49c | 205.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Brazil | 50c | 202$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.57 | 132 | 40.2%53 W · 79 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x296b…2cf2backed Brazil | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3226…5ecfbacked Brazil | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…1292backed Brazil | 52c | 195.65$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.74 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6d…00c2backed Brazil | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x733b…0268backed Uruguay | 49c | 177.7$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.82 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce93…0f23backed Brazil | 52c | 168.88$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f022backed Brazil | 52c | 150$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8514…360bbacked Brazil | 52c | 128.85$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0060…eb25backed Uruguay | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…3c94backed Uruguay | 48c | 100.98$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.51 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…04c5backed Brazil | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5e…d2f6backed Uruguay | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x773b…5e93backed Brazil | 52c | 95.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6356…1885backed Uruguay | 47c | 81.8$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade0…dbacbacked Brazil | 53c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65f2…b488backed Brazil | 53c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1d…b57fbacked Brazil | 64c | 64.07$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ea…fa98backed Brazil | 54c | 55.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe6…3d78backed Brazil | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa779…5772backed Brazil | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf00…0704backed Uruguay | 44c | 44.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc11…5d9abacked Uruguay | 49c | 41.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +82%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f13…d602backed Brazil | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1832…3be1backed Brazil | 51c | 37.32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b10…a38abacked Uruguay | 57c | 35.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b4…909ebacked Brazil | 53c | 33.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5950…2d23backed Uruguay | 49c | 30.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecdc…ea3fbacked Brazil | 53c | 30.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2429…06bbbacked Brazil | 53c | 28.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…2e58backed Brazil | 53c | 25.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5536…3426backed Brazil | 53c | 25.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce00…eb1abacked Uruguay | 46c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +119.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed Uruguay | 65c | 24.38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.53 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7992…200fbacked Brazil | 53c | 20.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Brazil | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 147 | 15.6%23 W · 124 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fe…7537backed Brazil | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x360d…a353backed Brazil | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.