Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on April 22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e15db4e059f6e8fe947b7ffa3f289c00496e0e1594b9172dddc3dcc185ea7b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,408
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,768
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,408 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 33c | 549.75$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x035a…ff68backed Yes | 74c | 539.32$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.24 | 315 | 42.9%135 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…a3ddbacked Yes | 73c | 399.08$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.96 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 49c | 379.56$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.99 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 12c | 373.8$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.71 | 618 | 21.2%131 W · 487 L | -34.2wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 73c | 266.13$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.28 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d6…017cbacked Yes | 50c | 255.48$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.25 | 238 | 23.9%57 W · 181 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a9b…b643backed Yes | 69c | 235.52$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 61c | 216.01$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.96 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 24c | 195.79$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.37 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…6c41backed No | 50c | 181.2$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.6 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6733…acb9backed No | 25c | 169.03$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 40c | 164.76$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.96 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x710d…02aabacked Yes | 77c | 164.23$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.61 | 340 | 67.4%229 W · 111 L | +24.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1e…cc93backed Yes | 74c | 148.72$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.57 | 130 | 58.5%76 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x213e…5e0fbacked Yes | 70c | 146.5$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.41 | 657 | 49.8%327 W · 330 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 45c | 143.46$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.18 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf49…2486backed Yes | 67c | 142.63$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.21 | 155 | 45.2%70 W · 85 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe07e…0e7ebacked Yes | 55c | 135.67$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.27 | 334 | 50.6%169 W · 165 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2079…ca17backed Yes | 37c | 121.02$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.83 | 96 | 26%25 W · 71 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x553a…0c2bbacked No | 51c | 119.21$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.53 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…c493backed No | 44c | 104.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…88e1backed Yes | 36c | 100.08$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.43 | 1,298 | 33.1%430 W · 868 L | +39.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed Yes | 79c | 99.31$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x951c…d8c7backed Yes | 45c | 96.23$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.69 | 683 | 35.4%242 W · 441 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92eb…9668backed Yes | 51c | 95.1$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.6 | 109 | 36.7%40 W · 69 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…6465backed Yes | 37c | 84.4$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.55 | 375 | 33.6%126 W · 249 L | -11.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe47e…f8abbacked Yes | 76c | 82.46$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 240 | 66.3%159 W · 81 L | +13.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb697…9c56backed No | 13c | 80.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 109 | 24.8%27 W · 82 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +45%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17dd…056abacked No | 13c | 79.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 69 | 13%9 W · 60 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade9…1990backed No | 13c | 79.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216e…fda6backed No | 14c | 77.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 71 | 18.3%13 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd36…a832backed Yes | 42c | 75.88$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.09 | 650 | 43.4%282 W · 368 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a2…af52backed Yes | 57c | 73.52$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.29 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e0…7465backed Yes | 70c | 70.21$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.96 | 352 | 33%116 W · 236 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85e8…9301backed Yes | 71c | 64.4$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.77 | 113 | 62.8%71 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 34c | 64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…619abacked No | 41c | 60.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.24 | 274 | 64.6%177 W · 97 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked No | 26c | 60.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 636 | 56.1%357 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ce…7f30backed No | 60c | 59.24$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.82 | 160 | 65.6%105 W · 55 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf1…ffd5backed Yes | 56c | 57.97$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.44 | 114 | 36%41 W · 73 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b78…e589backed Yes | 49c | 57.79$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.53 | 379 | 42.5%161 W · 218 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes | 43c | 56.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.27 | 982 | 36.7%360 W · 622 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…ac89backed Yes | 51c | 55.94$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.41 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa831…031ebacked Yes | 51c | 55.94$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8796…e255backed No | 52c | 55.34$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.63 | 119 | 25.2%30 W · 89 L | -14.1wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 49c | 52.2$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.58 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked Yes | 51c | 52.02$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.32 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0066…20a1backed No | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 88 | 65.9%58 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36c2…2b8cbacked No | 61c | 49.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 707 | 70.2%496 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa200…27b0backed No | 24c | 49.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 154 | 35.7%55 W · 99 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 64c | 48.67$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.15 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x036d…e888backed Yes | 70c | 48.5$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 78 | 71.8%56 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…69b0backed Yes | 40c | 45.88$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.37 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c31…68a1backed No | 47c | 43.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 195 | 47.2%92 W · 103 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09c2…8210backed Yes | 70c | 43.35$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 541 | 54%292 W · 249 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb4…5fd3backed No | 53c | 42.66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa84…e985backed Yes | 46c | 41.62$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.52 | 407 | 39.3%160 W · 247 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…fe29backed No | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 521 | 55.3%288 W · 233 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…4622backed No | 62c | 39.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 562 | 65.5%368 W · 194 L | +35.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…d270backed No | 65c | 38.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.12 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc82c…c866backed No | 38c | 37.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8685…be37backed No | 58c | 37.45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69ad…4aeabacked Yes | 51c | 37.29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf64f…99d7backed No | 54c | 36.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4650…8be6backed Yes | 70c | 34.64$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.39 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec4d…087ebacked Yes | 43c | 33.38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.1 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…17cbbacked Yes | 49c | 32.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.59 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 56cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2869…527dbacked No | 65c | 31.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 937 | 34.9%327 W · 610 L | -203.5wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xee1b…5571backed Yes | 42c | 31.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ac…a062backed Yes | 57c | 31.19$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.39 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe99…9ca7backed Yes | 53c | 29.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 669 | 26.2%175 W · 494 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b81…82dbbacked Yes | 46c | 29.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.83 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1f…9ff2backed Yes | 61c | 28.22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 323 | 52.9%171 W · 152 L | +19.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd670…1e02backed Yes | 51c | 27.66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.55 | 222 | 65.8%146 W · 76 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43b8…e234backed Yes | 71c | 27.19$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -30%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5499…cf6dbacked Yes | 47c | 27.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 250 | 37.6%94 W · 156 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…5b28backed Yes | 42c | 27.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 265 | 66.4%176 W · 89 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69a4…f990backed No | 54c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16d9…f0b0backed Yes | 40c | 26.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.11 | 286 | 48.3%138 W · 148 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a99…1838backed No | 77c | 25.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 97 | 70.1%68 W · 29 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 75cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…1357backed Yes | 54c | 25.74$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd082…b5e8backed Yes | 79c | 24.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.15 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef7e…aee8backed Yes | 44c | 23.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.37 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec7c…7ad4backed Yes | 50c | 23.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.91 | 190 | 37.4%71 W · 119 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 52c | 23.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1076…9416backed No | 54c | 22.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 51c | 20.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5e…a8cfbacked No | 57c | 19.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e99…b482backed Yes | 55c | 19.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.79 | 425 | 44%187 W · 238 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea5e…a678backed Yes | 74c | 19.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 1,218 | 42%512 W · 706 L | +31.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcb…634fbacked Yes | 62c | 18.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 215 | 47.4%102 W · 113 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b3…532cbacked No | 63c | 18.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on April 22?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on April 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on April 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on April 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on April 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on April 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on April 22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.