TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Atlanta United FC win on 2026-08-19?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$31,033
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$33,807

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,033 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Yes41c2,004$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,183.5999340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed No18c1,830$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.953040.6%215 W · 315 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed No32c1,425$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.438246.1%176 W · 206 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Yes72c1,341$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.6722269.4%154 W · 68 L+31.4wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+33.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Yes71c1,300$927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.394868.8%33 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Yes73c1,003$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.6118774.3%139 W · 48 L+33.5wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+39.4%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes66c1,003$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.821,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca10backed No31c956.14$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008344.6%37 W · 46 L+8.7wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+40.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No23c956.07$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.5610840.7%44 W · 64 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid+10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9212…4040backed Yes73c831.19$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.4113952.5%73 W · 66 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes73c772.49$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21071443.7%312 W · 402 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No79c719.05$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.0598945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1985…51abbacked No57c616$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.122969%20 W · 9 L+5.3wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+26.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x09b0…a3b6backed No57c616$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.123161.3%19 W · 12 L+5.0wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+40.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No29c516.84$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.387327.4%20 W · 53 L-6.6wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-44.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa71d…9854backed No58c505$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.92860.7%17 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes31c446.74$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.581,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes40c434.04$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.41,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked No17c404.39$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.412810.7%3 W · 25 L-6.8wins-0.24per pick35cpaid-73.5%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x05b2…953bbacked No32c397.03$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.371850%9 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x946f…67c1backed No78c379.8$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.171968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+24.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Yes34c357.98$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.6916437.2%61 W · 103 L-11.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-34.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed No20c307.19$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.917244.8%77 W · 95 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1b9…c40bbacked No65c303.62$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.571926.3%5 W · 14 L-3.4wins-0.18per pick44cpaid-41.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed No19c298.38$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.252619.2%5 W · 21 L-5.4wins-0.21per pick40cpaid-45.5%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes20c284.09$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.463,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x613a…2185backed No9c280$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.721145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes70c272$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.2419172.3%138 W · 53 L+36.8wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+41.7%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x0178…3f7abacked No57c258.14$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.147564%48 W · 27 L+8.8wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+36.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No4c250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1013228.8%38 W · 94 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+38.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed No80c240.25$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.29747.4%46 W · 51 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No80c231.1$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.8870249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked No27c206$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.7820252%105 W · 97 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad57…2fc0backed Yes16c202.94$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.471520%3 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No78c202.16$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.6872850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No80c200$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16016960.9%103 W · 66 L+11.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes20c190.45$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.3673438.1%280 W · 454 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked No6c188.82$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.338032.5%26 W · 54 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+15.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No80c188.75$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15114257.7%82 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked No66c181.43$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1207045.7%32 W · 38 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x55b9…a814backed Yes43c178.96$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.325954.2%32 W · 27 L+5.3wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed No28c178.79$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012551.2%64 W · 61 L+9.7wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+19.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Yes70c175$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.5215676.9%120 W · 36 L+32.7wins+0.21per pick56cpaid+43.9%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x47c2…d39ebacked No58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+28.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x277b…31fabacked Yes19c167$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.842860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+28.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc800…4117backed No7c164$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.122437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x162c…6c47backed No56c156.61$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.144148.8%20 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed No74c145.66$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.1719641.3%81 W · 115 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes42c139.74$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.0552639.5%208 W · 318 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3bc…31fbbacked Yes73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.99966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Yes19c136.85$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.8912654%68 W · 58 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No35c133.99$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4892346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes63c130$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.574346.5%20 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed Yes29c129.25$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.773040%12 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No50c129.1$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.1796756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked No28c128.22$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.2813464.9%87 W · 47 L+17.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+22.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7a41…f527backed No58c125$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.52055%11 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes35c122.03$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.731,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc37…bd81backed No61c121.1$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.31030%3 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Yes20c117.56$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.6252923.8%126 W · 403 L-25.8wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Yes18c111.1$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.17149.3%35 W · 36 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes47c107.8$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.6836646.7%171 W · 195 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes66c107.46$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.4619073.7%140 W · 50 L+18.6wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x87f7…8f45backed Yes54c97.86$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.854868.8%33 W · 15 L+7.6wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+16.3%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed No80c96$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.832848.8%160 W · 168 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd577…c012backed No58c86.2$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503262.5%20 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7218…ea41backed No58c83.33$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.331675%12 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+36.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xebf3…50a8backed No58c83.33$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.331758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf04b…049abacked No58c83.33$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.331258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c4d…a427backed Yes73c81.8$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.8771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7acf…08a0backed No57c78.94$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.830%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x20ad…f368backed No52c76.26$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406636.4%24 W · 42 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes20c72.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5897146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x366f…f952backed No58c68.97$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Yes22c68.86$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.717460.8%45 W · 29 L+12.8wins+0.17per pick44cpaid+38.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xcc8e…944ebacked No80c62.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505676.8%43 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick74cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes54c61.14$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2754949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Yes30c60.12$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.169357%53 W · 40 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+25.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf1b9…3964backed Yes17c60$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick17cpaid+299.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfc81…e072backed No59c50.85$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3050%0 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed No61c48.28$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4916159.6%96 W · 65 L+18.4wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+11.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x68f8…12c8backed No80c47.5$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381330.8%4 W · 9 L-4.5wins-0.34per pick65cpaid-55.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Yes61c45.83$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9710249%50 W · 52 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No40c45.21$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.328721.6%62 W · 225 L-29.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-44.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes50c43.92$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1625652.3%134 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b24…4247backed Yes23c43.75$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.752352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+29.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd6…cfdebacked No58c41.66$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.161275%9 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+26.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdaee…8559backed Yes59c38.69$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.976653%35 W · 31 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1fd…9994backed No58c34.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201560%9 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Yes51c34.1$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8229460.5%178 W · 116 L+36.5wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+34.2%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x947d…dff0backed No58c33.89$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.663557.1%20 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x232f…8002backed No58c33.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.61457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10af…2d06backed No58c33.33$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.331338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.17per pick56cpaid-25.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Yes51c31.4$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.2731158.5%182 W · 129 L+27.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+23.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No79c30.22$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0280358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70bb…10d3backed Yes39c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.256453.1%34 W · 30 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4abd…5a5cbacked Yes65c28.5$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.972065%13 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+37.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked Yes67c26.39$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.7116657.2%95 W · 71 L+12.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x083e…81a1backed No80c25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20742.9%3 W · 4 L-2.4wins-0.35per pick78cpaid-44.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1792…118abacked Yes40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1512571.2%89 W · 36 L+19.9wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+35.5%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.