TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Minnesota United FC win on 2026-08-19?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$43,197
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$42,074

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,197 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7930…41a3backed Yes0c15,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Yes55c4,112$2,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,261.5612951.2%66 W · 63 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No52c3,263$1,683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,579.931,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Yes54c2,977$1,607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,607.432920.7%6 W · 23 L-4.0wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-40.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbbc8…4f5bbacked No46c2,755$1,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,487.71747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+19.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No44c2,464$1,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,38070249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Yes57c2,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,139.9917740.7%72 W · 105 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No43c1,211$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.5272850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd970…bbbabacked Yes25c1,182$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.222352.2%12 W · 11 L+3.8wins+0.16per pick36cpaid+102.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x09b0…a3b6backed Yes25c1,177$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.593161.3%19 W · 12 L+5.0wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+40.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes8c914.94$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.697327.4%20 W · 53 L-6.6wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-44.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed Yes6c891.2$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.2138246.1%176 W · 206 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed No46c700$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3783735.1%13 W · 24 L-4.8wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-26.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes54c683$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.825451.9%28 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes30c480.64$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.499340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Yes59c350$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.56546.2%30 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6aa…178ebacked Yes58c300$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.37per pick57cpaid-67.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Yes32c296.25$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.4816437.2%61 W · 103 L-11.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-34.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed No41c280.8$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.674751.1%24 W · 23 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+33.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x55b9…a814backed No74c243.04$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.195954.2%32 W · 27 L+5.3wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8718…ff8cbacked No44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.27366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+53.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No59c226.74$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.031,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a6c…906abacked Yes55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4dd9…5d16backed No43c170$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.5742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick34cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No68c169.41$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.5880249.8%399 W · 403 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes27c147.31$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.1528721.6%62 W · 225 L-29.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-44.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No43c139.52$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.5310450%52 W · 52 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x24bf…b006backed No41c127.08$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.984158.5%24 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed No66c114.3$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.326352.4%33 W · 30 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked No63c113.74$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.7613464.9%87 W · 47 L+17.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+22.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2ba9…2210backed No44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.64475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+56.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes49c111.94$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.1596756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd06b…3353backed Yes41c110.07$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455234.6%18 W · 34 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No45c105.89$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.5480358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.9531446.5%146 W · 168 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2064…0ab1backed Yes50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes20c99.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207341.1%30 W · 43 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes59c95.23$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.1939435.8%141 W · 253 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed No43c88.96$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.714942.9%21 W · 28 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No43c75.96$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.3217858.4%104 W · 74 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0178…3f7abacked Yes28c75.08$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.027564%48 W · 27 L+8.8wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+36.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe7e9…99e6backed Yes27c74.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+81.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Yes45c72.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.8519641.3%81 W · 115 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x833c…ac24backed No43c71.1$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.714757.4%27 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed No75c67.77$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0439234.4%135 W · 257 L-47.2wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-31%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked No50c66.44$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.2216657.2%95 W · 71 L+12.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3509…9e45backed Yes31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+81.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4ed3…e416backed Yes33c57.92$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2720%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7154…ada5backed Yes29c51.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-55.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbef0…69c8backed Yes33c51.53$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.973537.1%13 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4cd…c041backed Yes32c43.94$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.033148.4%15 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Yes57c41$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3719852.5%104 W · 94 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No74c37.8$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8368150.8%346 W · 335 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9707…6fbdbacked Yes27c37.04$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick38cpaid-40.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4aa…f4e5backed No42c35.71$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.71944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x884b…c480backed Yes56c35.7$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.99862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87f7…8f45backed No74c35.2$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.154868.8%33 W · 15 L+7.6wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+16.3%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x20ad…f368backed No54c34.02$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.656636.4%24 W · 42 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01d5…8647backed Yes57c32.04$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No45c31.41$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3312654%68 W · 58 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed No43c30.64$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.4626450%132 W · 132 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf762…d55fbacked No74c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.82770.4%19 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e17…0b08backed No46c28.77$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.542100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+99.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No59c27.25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.1954949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1715…a049backed Yes58c25.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.993246.9%15 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No42c25.86$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1537649.7%187 W · 189 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68f8…12c8backed Yes58c25.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151330.8%4 W · 9 L-4.5wins-0.34per pick65cpaid-55.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Yes59c25.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.054660.9%28 W · 18 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No68c25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.192346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes56c25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1435550.4%179 W · 176 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed No46c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.52085%17 W · 3 L+3.6wins+0.18per pick67cpaid+27.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2ec7…8c25backed No66c24.4$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.3944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-33.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Yes56c22.61$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.662540%10 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x70bb…10d3backed No75c21.11$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.36453.1%34 W · 30 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6951…66f3backed Yes57c21.05$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+19.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf1d…9591backed Yes54c20.89$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.283951.3%20 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe010…5147backed No74c20.88$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.36714.3%1 W · 6 L-3.1wins-0.45per pick59cpaid-80.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5837…8cdebacked Yes55c20.6$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.333447.1%16 W · 18 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x77c4…d390backed Yes57c20.4$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.63977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick57cpaid+49.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe90f…a908backed Yes59c20.14$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.883164.5%20 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbbf4…3b45backed Yes59c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-61.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1262…056fbacked Yes58c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.61346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2bde…ecbabacked No62c18.04$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.93560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dc4…4870backed No65c17.53$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.091330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-53.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1792…118abacked No70c14.3$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.2912571.2%89 W · 36 L+19.9wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+35.5%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.