Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on February 6?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e519fd1caa726a52da0a6b694f3172f4d571f29e9ab0b0a13dfbb46af2dd709
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,406
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,996
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,406 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4b6a…db19backed No | 2c | 2,500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 147 | 19.7%29 W · 118 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +126.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9315…42a2backed No | 1c | 2,240$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ce…d5fabacked Yes | 50c | 1,164$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.21 | 483 | 31.3%151 W · 332 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd17…f596backed No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 45c | 902.78$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.01 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x584e…090fbacked Yes | 53c | 724.94$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.94 | 478 | 34.3%164 W · 314 L | +22.0wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…29b4backed Yes | 14c | 723.47$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.77 | 963 | 13.7%132 W · 831 L | +33.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31ae…ab5ebacked Yes | 61c | 717.26$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.43 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 11c | 696.06$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.24 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…c535backed No | 55c | 659.11$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 77c | 650.79$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.97 | 172 | 43.6%75 W · 97 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…61e9backed Yes | 10c | 500.01$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.15 | 240 | 10%24 W · 216 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 14c | 499.99$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.99 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x269f…6417backed No | 75c | 361.96$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.65 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8de…cdc0backed Yes | 21c | 339.84$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.57 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd833…ba96backed No | 35c | 317.45$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.2 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b4…48b2backed Yes | 46c | 315.78$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.48 | 206 | 31.6%65 W · 141 L | -23.6wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c1…8c6bbacked Yes | 27c | 299.99$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.99 | 105 | 31.4%33 W · 72 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf84d…5e65backed Yes | 35c | 225.57$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.57 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 38c | 217.1$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.1 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf82…e079backed Yes | 25c | 203.13$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.03 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked No | 64c | 200.27$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.52 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 19c | 192.25$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.14 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd136…6d68backed No | 13c | 180$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 9c | 174.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.02 | 659 | 34.1%225 W · 434 L | +36.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 76c | 167$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.35 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf734…2b7ebacked Yes | 31c | 166.53$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.95 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf216…4844backed No | 56c | 163.76$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.02 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 79c | 146.73$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.54 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 14c | 145.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.72 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed Yes | 11c | 130$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.7 | 1,242 | 16.7%207 W · 1,035 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 18c | 128.77$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.19 | 2,823 | 11.2%316 W · 2,507 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4f…d890backed Yes | 20c | 124.62$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.7 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe170…3c0bbacked No | 75c | 122.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6da3…1ccdbacked Yes | 22c | 120$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd5…cf27backed Yes | 64c | 113.34$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.96 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d81…7edfbacked Yes | 51c | 112.04$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.91 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe31e…ec88backed Yes | 17c | 106.52$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.92 | 559 | 19.1%107 W · 452 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 48c | 102.96$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.45 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xe921…6a6dbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -48%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1043…253abacked No | 79c | 98.57$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.94 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 63cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a38…ada9backed No | 60c | 97$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.2 | 236 | 33.1%78 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb261…a612backed No | 58c | 93.93$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.85 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | -9.9wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 15c | 89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.95 | 695 | 20%139 W · 556 L | -44.4wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc81…e072backed Yes | 28c | 88.69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.18 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x40c9…4a8bbacked No | 76c | 85.4$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.15 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0467…846fbacked Yes | 24c | 85.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.02 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97eb…9fbebacked Yes | 69c | 84.58$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.82 | 299 | 22.7%68 W · 231 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab34…03dcbacked No | 15c | 81.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…6197backed Yes | 37c | 81.35$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.88 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2742…1f7abacked Yes | 50c | 80.16$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.04 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +17.5wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 15c | 79.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.84 | 540 | 37.4%202 W · 338 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4e…d839backed No | 78c | 78$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.56 | 227 | 28.6%65 W · 162 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0de9…3d1fbacked Yes | 21c | 70.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.59 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45ca…d3bebacked No | 75c | 66.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c4…1513backed Yes | 32c | 65.73$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.85 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdeee…7c09backed Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a2…0274backed No | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef03…1fbfbacked No | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe630…76f9backed Yes | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +4.5wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xae91…e382backed Yes | 24c | 52.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…3942backed Yes | 20c | 50.43$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.17 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce45…9e20backed Yes | 42c | 48.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.03 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9072…d2c2backed No | 44c | 45.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8278…9464backed Yes | 28c | 45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.41 | 132 | 50%66 W · 66 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b29…623bbacked No | 30c | 42.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 268 | 28.7%77 W · 191 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…1e42backed No | 77c | 41.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.52 | 344 | 57%196 W · 148 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcff5…5237backed No | 77c | 41.22$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.74 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked Yes | 42c | 40.39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.35 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec0c…8589backed No | 80c | 40$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed9…c127backed Yes | 32c | 37.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.58 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa9…eec4backed No | 59c | 32.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 73cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…fb49backed Yes | 63c | 31.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.46 | 665 | 43.6%290 W · 375 L | +25.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb31d…b920backed Yes | 66c | 30.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 180 | 35%63 W · 117 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a99…0ed4backed No | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3807…5541backed No | 75c | 26.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d70…ed56backed No | 76c | 24.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c3…0501backed No | 60c | 23.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d4…a31ebacked Yes | 54c | 23.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked No | 74c | 21.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc018…b251backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 111 | 38.7%43 W · 68 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7e…78b1backed No | 76c | 19.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 164 | 65.2%107 W · 57 L | +18.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdf78…6213backed No | 80c | 14.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on February 6?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on February 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on February 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C or higher on February 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C or below on February 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on February 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on February 6?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.