Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on February 6?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48b213344b3b857ebb9c55124bee787a27ba1e66253ef7f7aca256e481e6b2de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,157
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,537
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,157 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x690c…6bd7backed Yes | 0c | 24,193$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed No | 78c | 3,154$2,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.51 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf6…c61bbacked Yes | 5c | 3,008$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.84 | 608 | 51.2%311 W · 297 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x584e…090fbacked Yes | 20c | 1,886$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.9 | 478 | 34.3%164 W · 314 L | +22.0wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…c0a5backed Yes | 1c | 1,800$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 247 | 10.9%27 W · 220 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ae…ab5ebacked Yes | 56c | 1,016$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.07 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe977…c4d7backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 41c | 658.63$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.4 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd2…b7f8backed No | 67c | 605.76$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.87 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 19c | 571.88$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.16 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4292…0fb8backed Yes | 59c | 488.01$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.78 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 44c | 414.32$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.37 | 695 | 20%139 W · 556 L | -44.4wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd833…ba96backed No | 43c | 378.27$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.78 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16eb…f55dbacked No | 48c | 358.88$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +57%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c1…8c6bbacked Yes | 20c | 347.01$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.06 | 105 | 31.4%33 W · 72 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 80c | 323.32$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.16 | 172 | 43.6%75 W · 97 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb261…a612backed Yes | 48c | 321.55$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.01 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | -9.9wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked No | 58c | 266.14$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.11 | 636 | 56.1%357 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…ba81backed No | 77c | 238.52$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.22 | 617 | 60.1%371 W · 246 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 71c | 214.66$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.84 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b28…5b76backed Yes | 54c | 202.63$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 134 | 16.4%22 W · 112 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 25c | 201.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.73 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Yes | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 114 | 36.8%42 W · 72 L | -12.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbffa…2abbbacked Yes | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b28…d021backed Yes | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 287 | 18.5%53 W · 234 L | +15.9wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | +113.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d72…8e62backed Yes | 6c | 200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1,817 | 8.1%148 W · 1,669 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b4…48b2backed Yes | 55c | 199.97$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.58 | 206 | 31.6%65 W · 141 L | -23.6wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf84d…5e65backed Yes | 26c | 194.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…6197backed Yes | 21c | 191.34$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.75 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 45c | 184.43$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.9 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…4c6dbacked No | 77c | 179.74$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.24 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf216…4844backed Yes | 23c | 156.97$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.43 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1192…634cbacked Yes | 64c | 156.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4f…d890backed Yes | 22c | 154.08$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.9 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,242 | 16.7%207 W · 1,035 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f65…d10dbacked Yes | 40c | 144.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb485…f560backed Yes | 54c | 128.78$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 42cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb422…b749backed Yes | 51c | 115.48$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.63 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a38…ada9backed Yes | 67c | 112$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.12 | 236 | 33.1%78 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…989bbacked Yes | 50c | 111.94$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.13 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6da3…1ccdbacked Yes | 55c | 110$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.6 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x078d…c1bfbacked Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf132…c706backed Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 308 | 13.6%42 W · 266 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…4291backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2,165 | 23.8%516 W · 1,649 L | +83.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9469…6d18backed No | 30c | 99.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 959 | 42.4%407 W · 552 L | +84.9wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d4…a31ebacked Yes | 19c | 99.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf734…2b7ebacked Yes | 49c | 98.02$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.69 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 56c | 97.87$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.77 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 59c | 97.14$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.7 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…81aabacked No | 42c | 96.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.14 | 270 | 79.3%214 W · 56 L | +52.5wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x4b29…623bbacked Yes | 24c | 95.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 268 | 28.7%77 W · 191 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0de9…3d1fbacked Yes | 39c | 87.35$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.39 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 56c | 83.7$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.94 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x458d…7fdfbacked Yes | 75c | 79.19$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d81…7edfbacked Yes | 49c | 77.66$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.9 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd6…ac0dbacked Yes | 58c | 77.6$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x049f…c09ebacked Yes | 42c | 77.38$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2742…1f7abacked Yes | 46c | 73.12$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.71 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +17.5wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5201…34c3backed Yes | 66c | 67$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.22 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d1…019abacked Yes | 30c | 66.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 38c | 66.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.98 | 2,823 | 11.2%316 W · 2,507 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6a…7feebacked No | 48c | 64.59$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.87 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 42c | 64.58$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.81 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x7552…5845backed Yes | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92c5…1138backed Yes | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe31e…ec88backed No | 33c | 53.43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.99 | 559 | 19.1%107 W · 452 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae91…e382backed Yes | 39c | 52.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9231…b267backed Yes | 30c | 52.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3636…1a57backed Yes | 43c | 51.21$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.88 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd5…cf27backed Yes | 37c | 51.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd59d…dcffbacked Yes | 57c | 51.02$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe45…f9a7backed Yes | 50c | 50.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4492…8b9abacked Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d7…72e4backed Yes | 57c | 48.4$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xff18…da47backed Yes | 37c | 46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 264 | 34.1%90 W · 174 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed No | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 139 | 46%64 W · 75 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e5…441dbacked Yes | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65f9…4425backed No | 68c | 44.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67d9…8758backed Yes | 58c | 43.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…04ecbacked Yes | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 64cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed Yes | 57c | 40.66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 165 | 20.6%34 W · 131 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 34c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…1e42backed No | 43c | 36.48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 344 | 57%196 W · 148 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b99…97e1backed No | 70c | 34.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cde…5f71backed Yes | 39c | 31.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef03…1fbfbacked No | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf91d…d7cebacked No | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 263 | 39.9%105 W · 158 L | +17.2wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfa…73acbacked Yes | 33c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,022 | 30.6%313 W · 709 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…ee01backed No | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 80 | 72.5%58 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f19…e819backed Yes | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 529 | 35.7%189 W · 340 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd09a…a603backed Yes | 40c | 29.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 114 | 36.8%42 W · 72 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 79c | 29.42$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 179 | 78.8%141 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 78cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e80…6910backed Yes | 60c | 27.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe43b…c3d0backed Yes | 65c | 22.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 64c | 22.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.23 | 540 | 37.4%202 W · 338 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 63c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e16…663dbacked No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 63c | 19.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x606c…5d56backed Yes | 63c | 19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8789…9c0ebacked Yes | 59c | 17.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on February 6?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on February 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on February 6?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C or higher on February 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C or below on February 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on February 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on February 6?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.