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Europa Conference League · resolved market

KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Lillestrøm SK: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$16,449
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$13,587

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,449 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes52c3,989$2,078 inLost-$2,077.9241442.3%175 W · 239 L-1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No48c2,859$1,372 inWon+$1,486.421,22245.3%553 W · 669 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes53c2,742$1,464 inLost-$1,464.3720948.8%102 W · 107 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No72c2,243$1,608 inWon+$635.232,73840.2%1,100 W · 1,638 L-1.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No46c1,605$746 inWon+$858.7147342.1%199 W · 274 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03c9…d8c1backed Yes20c1,600$316 inLost-$316.463966.7%26 W · 13 L+6.9wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+37.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3968…85b5backed Yes25c1,600$400 inLost-$4004072.5%29 W · 11 L+9.9wins+0.25per pick48cpaid+63.1%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes14c846.41$118 inLost-$118.53,24742.2%1,370 W · 1,877 L+4.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1b9…c40bbacked Yes20c625$125 inLost-$125.151435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-26.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Yes13c368.31$48 inLost-$47.8816832.7%55 W · 113 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No47c300$141 inWon+$1591,29049.1%633 W · 657 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No47c240.13$113 inWon+$126.8289648.2%432 W · 464 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf04…a3f5backed Yes56c226.79$127 inLost-$12710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes57c172.25$98 inLost-$98.091,21936.3%442 W · 777 L-18.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No48c156.25$75 inWon+$81.2515243.4%66 W · 86 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No46c156$72 inWon+$84.241,20047.4%569 W · 631 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No46c156$72 inWon+$84.241,31950.8%670 W · 649 L+33.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc81…e072backed Yes20c150$30 inLost-$301136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-51.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No47c149$70 inWon+$78.9710059%59 W · 41 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No48c125$60 inWon+$6515544.5%69 W · 86 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked No45c80.91$36 inWon+$44.532547.7%155 W · 170 L+12.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+24%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No45c70.38$32 inWon+$38.7189153.4%476 W · 415 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a6a…56bdbacked No44c62$27 inWon+$34.833754.1%20 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No73c56.49$41 inWon+$15.392,43437.3%909 W · 1,525 L-9.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No46c50$23 inWon+$2777855%428 W · 350 L+23.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No77c46$35 inWon+$10.5840844.4%181 W · 227 L-11.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No79c46$36 inWon+$9.6683845%377 W · 461 L+14.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed No46c41.08$19 inWon+$22.0227737.9%105 W · 172 L-17.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7285…3273backed Yes54c40$22 inLost-$21.64337.2%16 W · 27 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff2a…3319backed Yes53c37.74$20 inLost-$20812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.2wins-0.40per pick53cpaid-73.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes54c31.35$17 inLost-$16.9863649.5%315 W · 321 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No65c25.97$17 inWon+$8.9744251.6%228 W · 214 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.