Europa Conference League · resolved market
KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Lillestrøm SK: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0ed72508c23728a531c89af833530fe2895f5e073e1348d661e617761d55555
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,702
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,024
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,702 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 24c | 3,581$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.73 | 2,795 | 34.8%973 W · 1,822 L | -86.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 69c | 3,402$2,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.32 | 2,738 | 40.2%1,100 W · 1,638 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 55c | 3,067$1,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,374.43 | 3,247 | 42.2%1,370 W · 1,877 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa704…11c1backed Over | 68c | 2,925$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…d35bbacked Over | 27c | 2,002$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.46 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74cb…1688backed Over | 26c | 1,026$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.76 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5e…9d93backed Over | 27c | 1,026$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.19 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb511…e800backed Under | 30c | 1,012$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.44 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.41per pick | 45cpaid | +114.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 74c | 877.27$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.39 | 1,222 | 45.3%553 W · 669 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Over | 27c | 852.82$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.36 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +134.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 52c | 252.48$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.08 | 2,433 | 37.4%909 W · 1,524 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8220…b081backed Under | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8818…4f5abacked Over | 26c | 211.54$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 26c | 187.09$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.46 | 186 | 42.5%79 W · 107 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e9…99e6backed Over | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 26c | 150.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.54 | 1,895 | 38.7%734 W · 1,161 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 74c | 130.01$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.8 | 636 | 49.5%315 W · 321 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 75c | 128$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 27c | 126.2$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.02 | 157 | 63.1%99 W · 58 L | +24.3wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfc81…e072backed Over | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 13c | 113$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 343 | 23%79 W · 264 L | -43.3wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Over | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7525…fd3cbacked Under | 31c | 98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.62 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a34…a28bbacked Over | 35c | 93.29$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.71 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 27c | 68.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 184 | 56.5%104 W · 80 L | +17.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2285…2aeabacked Over | 27c | 60.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +6.1wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 26c | 58.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 186 | 59.1%110 W · 76 L | +20.0wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…05a6backed Over | 26c | 56.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -5.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Over | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7154…ada5backed Over | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Over | 27c | 54.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Over | 35c | 49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed Over | 26c | 47.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 52c | 45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 354 | 46.9%166 W · 188 L | -14.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 74c | 42.34$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.33 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 26c | 42.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.33 | 331 | 42.9%142 W · 189 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 76c | 36.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.74 | 251 | 41%103 W · 148 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f78…3546backed Over | 44c | 36.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 48c | 32.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 543 | 53.8%292 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47fc…973cbacked Over | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.33per pick | 55cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 65c | 19.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.88 | 632 | 49.1%310 W · 322 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Over | 76c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Lillestrøm SK: O/U 1.5this page
- KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Lillestrøm SK: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Lillestrøm SK: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Lillestrøm SK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Lillestrøm SK: KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë O/U 0.5Under won
- KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Lillestrøm SK: KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë O/U 1.5Under won
- KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Lillestrøm SK: KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë O/U 2.5Under won
- KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Lillestrøm SK: Lillestrøm SK O/U 0.5Under won
- KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Lillestrøm SK: Lillestrøm SK O/U 1.5Under won
- KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Lillestrøm SK: Lillestrøm SK O/U 2.5Under won
- KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Lillestrøm SK: O/U 0.5Under won
- KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Lillestrøm SK: O/U 2.5Under won
- KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Lillestrøm SK: O/U 3.5Under won
- KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Lillestrøm SK: O/U 4.5Under won
- KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Lillestrøm SK: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë (-1.5)Lillestrøm SK won
- Spread: KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë (-2.5)Lillestrøm SK won
- Spread: Lillestrøm SK (-1.5)KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.