TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Lillestrøm SK: Lillestrøm SK O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,217
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,748

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,217 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc291…5d74backed Over35c1,140$399 inLost-$399.072,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over5c679.87$37 inLost-$37.022,33341.7%972 W · 1,361 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd970…bbbabacked Over59c678$398 inLost-$398.216973.9%51 W · 18 L+19.0wins+0.28per pick46cpaid+87.8%equal weight73+0.20 edge/pick
0x3e68…fcb9backed Over59c678$400 inLost-$400.021060%6 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked Over41c298.08$121 inLost-$120.948446.4%39 W · 45 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+149.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under60c241.15$145 inWon+$96.461,03346.1%476 W · 557 L-3.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa58f…cec8backed Over43c103.3$44 inLost-$44.42333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-55%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over34c69.9$24 inLost-$23.973,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc81…e072backed Over43c69.77$30 inLost-$301136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-51.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2326…b627backed Under23c66$15 inWon+$50.82850%4 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+46.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over77c66$51 inLost-$50.821,31650.8%668 W · 648 L+33.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdaee…8559backed Over43c55.47$24 inLost-$23.856552.3%34 W · 31 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over77c45.61$35 inLost-$35.121,02247.5%485 W · 537 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4cd…c041backed Over55c44.45$25 inLost-$24.632744.4%12 W · 15 L-3.4wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5d29…5b7dbacked Over43c40.72$18 inLost-$17.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc98…a143backed Over43c35.65$15 inLost-$15.33333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-55%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.