Europa Conference League · resolved market
KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Lillestrøm SK: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4149eff039caaa55ad33e6722f586e2c6443229c2b1db9a8c6014ed0c7c34631
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,299
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,839
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,299 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 43c | 2,575$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479.13 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 61c | 2,436$1,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,497.77 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 37c | 2,335$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,471.81 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 63c | 1,569$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 42 | 90.5%38 W · 4 L | +10.6wins | +0.25per pick | 65cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Over | 63c | 1,026$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.49 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +149.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…d35bbacked Over | 31c | 999.99$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 45c | 973.3$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.27 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 64c | 882.62$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.64 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a1…30d1backed Over | 63c | 534$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.42 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5e…9d93backed Over | 63c | 534$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.42 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 13c | 249.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…142bbacked Under | 17c | 224.94$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.94 | 81 | 21%17 W · 64 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 46c | 219.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.1 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked Over | 63c | 191.2$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.41 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3824…e756backed Under | 65c | 152.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.68 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Over | 10c | 149.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 83 | 16.9%14 W · 69 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 72c | 139.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 206 | 60.2%124 W · 82 L | -15.2wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 34c | 127.83$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.76 | 335 | 22.4%75 W · 260 L | -43.5wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 63c | 109.2$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.07 | 155 | 62.6%97 W · 58 L | +22.9wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ff…879cbacked Over | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 62c | 93.05$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.14 | 179 | 41.9%75 W · 104 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 45c | 90$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.39 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | -14.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 65c | 79.1$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.64 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Under | 37c | 70.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.63 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 56c | 63.58$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 63c | 59.4$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.48 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 63c | 56.1$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.47 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +17.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2285…2aeabacked Over | 62c | 54.58$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.81 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +5.7wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 45c | 34.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed Over | 62c | 32.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 34c | 30.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 370 | 46.5%172 W · 198 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d71…ca3ebacked Over | 45c | 28.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 54cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…05a6backed Over | 63c | 27.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -5.3wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6288…fd46backed Over | 62c | 22.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 70c | 15.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 73c | 13.96$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.76 | 294 | 70.1%206 W · 88 L | +21.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Lillestrøm SK: O/U 0.5this page
- KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Lillestrøm SK: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Lillestrøm SK: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Lillestrøm SK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Lillestrøm SK: KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë O/U 0.5Under won
- KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Lillestrøm SK: KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë O/U 1.5Under won
- KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Lillestrøm SK: KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë O/U 2.5Under won
- KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Lillestrøm SK: Lillestrøm SK O/U 0.5Under won
- KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Lillestrøm SK: Lillestrøm SK O/U 1.5Under won
- KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Lillestrøm SK: Lillestrøm SK O/U 2.5Under won
- KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Lillestrøm SK: O/U 1.5Under won
- KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Lillestrøm SK: O/U 2.5Under won
- KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Lillestrøm SK: O/U 3.5Under won
- KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Lillestrøm SK: O/U 4.5Under won
- KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Lillestrøm SK: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë (-1.5)Lillestrøm SK won
- Spread: KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë (-2.5)Lillestrøm SK won
- Spread: Lillestrøm SK (-1.5)KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.