TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Spread: Lillestrøm SK (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
KF Egnatia Rrogozhinëof Lillestrøm SK, KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$22,812
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$14,143

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,812 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd970…bbbabacked Lillestrøm SK9c3,334$310 inLost-$309.646973.9%51 W · 18 L+19.0wins+0.28per pick46cpaid+87.8%equal weight73+0.20 edge/pick
0x3e68…fcb9backed Lillestrøm SK5c3,334$172 inLost-$172.251060%6 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Lillestrøm SK9c2,643$231 inLost-$230.642,47333.9%839 W · 1,634 L-95.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Lillestrøm SK3c1,163$35 inLost-$35.343,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa58f…cec8backed Lillestrøm SK5c719.18$35 inLost-$35.24333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-55%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc81…e072backed Lillestrøm SK5c555.56$30 inLost-$301136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-51.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4cd…c041backed Lillestrøm SK5c273.25$14 inLost-$14.22744.4%12 W · 15 L-3.4wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcc98…a143backed Lillestrøm SK5c233.05$12 inLost-$11.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-55%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë74c73.65$54 inWon+$19.1532436.4%118 W · 206 L-20.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Lillestrøm SK26c73.65$19 inLost-$19.1523461.5%144 W · 90 L+26.7wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+31.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2965…0dedbacked Lillestrøm SK22c67.41$15 inLost-$14.832536%9 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Lillestrøm SK22c50$11 inLost-$1114233.1%47 W · 95 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-17.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.