Europa Conference League · resolved market
KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Lillestrøm SK: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb4efde6b19479ee7d4d12a44ff681ffa0005468c819b525bf9f237e702371e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,540
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,382
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,540 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 45c | 9,000$4,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,050 | 128 | 32.8%42 W · 86 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 67c | 5,916$3,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,971.09 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 68c | 3,289$2,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.29 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e68…fcb9backed Over | 8c | 2,667$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.36 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74cb…1688backed Over | 9c | 2,667$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.49 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 52c | 2,568$1,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,334.73 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…d35bbacked Under | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under | 51c | 2,314$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.85 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Over | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Over | 47c | 1,620$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.46 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 7c | 791.38$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.01 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb511…e800backed Under | 57c | 727.19$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.19 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.41per pick | 45cpaid | +114.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 6c | 614.13$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.85 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9315…afc1backed Over | 38c | 384.08$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.93 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc81…e072backed Over | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 49c | 318.23$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.87 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 42c | 288$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.96 | 270 | 39.3%106 W · 164 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 53c | 206$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.12 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 9c | 200$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 7c | 186.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Over | 8c | 184.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 8c | 181.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +17.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 9c | 181.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 155 | 62.6%97 W · 58 L | +22.9wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 47c | 179.96$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.95 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6288…fd46backed Over | 8c | 167.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 55c | 162.31$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.63 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 13c | 142$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 335 | 22.4%75 W · 260 L | -43.5wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 8c | 140.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 179 | 41.9%75 W · 104 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Under | 55c | 136.36$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.36 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Over | 38c | 120$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Under | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 45c | 105.8$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.61 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4801…6de9backed Over | 27c | 100.51$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 239 | 51.5%123 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Over | 13c | 80.77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 149 | 31.5%47 W · 102 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1737…2b2fbacked Over | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea6…eaaebacked Over | 37c | 74.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7525…fd3cbacked Under | 57c | 71.38$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.69 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3aa…ab99backed Under | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 47c | 58.19$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.84 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69d2…a218backed Over | 45c | 55.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 41c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.63 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe30f…ab88backed Over | 40c | 49.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -71%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 56c | 49.66$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4333backed Over | 65c | 49$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.84 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Under | 51c | 48.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.58 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a34…a28bbacked Under | 63c | 48.03$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.56 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 74c | 48$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x583e…a2a6backed Under | 51c | 45.34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.22 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 43c | 43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Over | 50c | 41.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 44c | 41.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Over | 48c | 37.66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 53c | 35.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 53c | 34.77$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 53c | 33.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Under | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +5.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 49c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7809…6600backed Over | 51c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed Over | 38c | 26.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Over | 52c | 24.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 189 | 40.2%76 W · 113 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 50c | 22.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47fc…973cbacked Over | 48c | 21.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.33per pick | 55cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9eeb…a72cbacked Over | 53c | 21.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Lillestrøm SK: O/U 2.5this page
- KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Lillestrøm SK: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Lillestrøm SK: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Lillestrøm SK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Lillestrøm SK: KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë O/U 0.5Under won
- KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Lillestrøm SK: KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë O/U 1.5Under won
- KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Lillestrøm SK: KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë O/U 2.5Under won
- KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Lillestrøm SK: Lillestrøm SK O/U 0.5Under won
- KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Lillestrøm SK: Lillestrøm SK O/U 1.5Under won
- KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Lillestrøm SK: Lillestrøm SK O/U 2.5Under won
- KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Lillestrøm SK: O/U 0.5Under won
- KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Lillestrøm SK: O/U 1.5Under won
- KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Lillestrøm SK: O/U 3.5Under won
- KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Lillestrøm SK: O/U 4.5Under won
- KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Lillestrøm SK: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë (-1.5)Lillestrøm SK won
- Spread: KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë (-2.5)Lillestrøm SK won
- Spread: Lillestrøm SK (-1.5)KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.