South American Leagues · resolved market
Mirassol FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96e259f558f733d17f87c25fdf17cd02489cba39d88ca08b795e2fb471cfa14c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,758
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,906
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,758 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 44c | 2,796$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235.41 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over | 56c | 1,987$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.67 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.5 | 115 | 65.2%75 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 36c | 724.47$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.81 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 36c | 593.24$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.65 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 36c | 400$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 36c | 337.4$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.05 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1782…892fbacked Over | 73c | 259.15$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.19 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd119…28abbacked Over | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 56cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Over | 59c | 242.11$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.71 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc10d…e679backed Under | 37c | 224.11$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.92 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Under | 38c | 213.77$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.23 | 188 | 28.7%54 W · 134 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 64c | 195$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 64c | 195$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 64c | 195$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64fd…f7aebacked Over | 60c | 169.97$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.39 | 48 | 85.4%41 W · 7 L | +8.5wins | +0.18per pick | 68cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 36c | 151.76$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.63 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 64c | 118.11$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.97 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 36c | 116.12$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3648…7c1cbacked Over | 64c | 115.13$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.45 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x508f…5ec1backed Over | 64c | 104.38$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0055…b43bbacked Over | 64c | 95.84$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad76…93febacked Under | 43c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.43 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc4…0fd1backed Under | 37c | 72.97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 30c | 66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed Under | 29c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 60c | 57.36$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.93 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 37c | 54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb0…20b4backed Under | 42c | 53.15$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 61c | 47.51$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.47 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Under | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 28c | 38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 28c | 37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 40c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Over | 60c | 32.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.17 | 197 | 61.9%122 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 62c | 29.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 217 | 52.1%113 W · 104 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef0…d45bbacked Under | 38c | 27.02$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b7d…9b6cbacked Over | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 61 | 72.1%44 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Over | 69c | 20.61$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.39 | 106 | 54.7%58 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d49…7cc0backed Over | 59c | 19.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c9…b92fbacked Over | 64c | 18.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 69c | 18.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Over | 70c | 17.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mirassol FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 1.5this page
- Mirassol FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Mirassol FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 2.5Over won
- Mirassol FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 3.5Under won
- Mirassol FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Mirassol FC (-1.5)SC Corinthians Paulista won
- Spread: Mirassol FC (-2.5)SC Corinthians Paulista won
- Spread: SC Corinthians Paulista (-1.5)Mirassol FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.