South American Leagues · resolved market
Mirassol FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58be4546f4f2974161c97a5014dce44abdcf2f14c1a0bd4ec7465e872900326f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,383
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,613
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,383 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 1,798$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.03 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 63c | 1,600$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.99 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 37c | 1,351$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.35 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 31c | 1,129$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.03 | 147 | 27.2%40 W · 107 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 69c | 962.95$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.62 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Under | 14c | 687.23$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.9 | 286 | 51.7%148 W · 138 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 34c | 600$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 27c | 512.36$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.56 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…ce0abacked Under | 36c | 307.72$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.78 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 52c | 293.06$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.67 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 36c | 209.31$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.98 | 188 | 28.7%54 W · 134 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 40c | 182.68$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.44 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 54c | 179.03$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.07 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Under | 47c | 174.55$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.19 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 69c | 173.91$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.91 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d17…9054backed Over | 36c | 149.83$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.89 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 34cpaid | +86.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcb…f3afbacked Over | 33c | 118.18$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.18 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 37c | 108.68$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.47 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 63c | 95.85$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.39 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4e…2564backed Under | 42c | 95.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 141 | 61%86 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 43c | 87.04$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.27 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 63c | 86.48$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.85 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Over | 49c | 81.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.72 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 63c | 80.44$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.58 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 60c | 70.9$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.45 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3d…3681backed Over | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 76cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9df6…c33bbacked Over | 51c | 66.67$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.67 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 74c | 64.65$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.84 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…974ebacked Over | 37c | 64$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 85 | 28.2%24 W · 61 L | -8.3wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…d0d2backed Under | 52c | 63.58$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Over | 51c | 58.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.46 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 43c | 57.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Under | 29c | 55.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 68c | 53.31$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 54c | 51.42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.42 | 359 | 58.8%211 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 60c | 49$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb0…20b4backed Under | 71c | 48.17$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 63c | 41.71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.28 | 213 | 49.8%106 W · 107 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Over | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 270 | 31.5%85 W · 185 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 44c | 37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 209 | 58.4%122 W · 87 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 62c | 36.48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcb…207cbacked Over | 48c | 36.18$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.93 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 56c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 64c | 33.42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a07…9dedbacked Under | 62c | 32.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Under | 64c | 31.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 197 | 61.9%122 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…9487backed Over | 62c | 31.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…8ffabacked Under | 65c | 30.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 55c | 24.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 292 | 45.2%132 W · 160 L | -24.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Under | 46c | 23.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d49…7cc0backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b7d…9b6cbacked Over | 71c | 19.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.56 | 61 | 72.1%44 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfca7…2bbdbacked Over | 77c | 14.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mirassol FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 2.5this page
- Mirassol FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Mirassol FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 1.5Over won
- Mirassol FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 3.5Under won
- Mirassol FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Mirassol FC (-1.5)SC Corinthians Paulista won
- Spread: Mirassol FC (-2.5)SC Corinthians Paulista won
- Spread: SC Corinthians Paulista (-1.5)Mirassol FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.