South American Leagues · resolved market
Mirassol FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd68d3e9d7688227363d93318509d9a6a39cc16c53130d86a93e7add295ea6be4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,859
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,109
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,859 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 45c | 6,589$2,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,608.04 | 71 | 25.4%18 W · 53 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6114…69dbbacked Yes | 50c | 2,600$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 54c | 1,468$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.49 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 54c | 1,239$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.75 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed No | 53c | 541.29$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.62 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c6…502cbacked Yes | 47c | 399.15$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.15 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 48c | 295.83$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.46 | 188 | 28.7%54 W · 134 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 54c | 295.14$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.38 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…9c69backed No | 54c | 258.11$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.38 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…ce0abacked Yes | 47c | 211.59$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.17 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Yes | 63c | 209.64$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.57 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 44c | 192.5$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.8 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Yes | 67c | 179.2$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.35 | 88 | 87.5%77 W · 11 L | +19.9wins | +0.23per pick | 65cpaid | +42%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 54c | 165.67$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.35 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Yes | 51c | 103.92$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.92 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfe…bfb7backed Yes | 47c | 102.04$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.08 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…534ebacked Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 55c | 92.85$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.07 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 55c | 92.85$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.07 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Yes | 46c | 80$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d49…7cc0backed No | 53c | 74.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked No | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 106 | 54.7%58 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc4…0fd1backed Yes | 46c | 58.8$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed No | 52c | 58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 58c | 52.5$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.94 | 269 | 65.4%176 W · 93 L | +48.9wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 55c | 40.78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.43 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 416 | 54.3%226 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 52c | 37.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed No | 55c | 36.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 197 | 61.9%122 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf17a…e44dbacked Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 67cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked No | 32c | 33.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 57c | 30.9$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 313 | 55.6%174 W · 139 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed No | 54c | 30.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 209 | 58.4%122 W · 87 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76a4…6f3abacked No | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked No | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 67c | 26.2$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed No | 56c | 25.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed No | 55c | 24.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…ac63backed No | 54c | 23.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 54c | 22.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa7…303dbacked No | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked No | 56c | 18.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 192 | 64.1%123 W · 69 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mirassol FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Mirassol FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 1.5Over won
- Mirassol FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 2.5Over won
- Mirassol FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 3.5Under won
- Mirassol FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Mirassol FC (-1.5)SC Corinthians Paulista won
- Spread: Mirassol FC (-2.5)SC Corinthians Paulista won
- Spread: SC Corinthians Paulista (-1.5)Mirassol FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.