South American Leagues · resolved market
Mirassol FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8f51fde0ab833bacc84d71113fb2faa72fc97a7b5f571efa887fef8ba4c5352
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,261
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,317
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,261 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 69c | 1,498$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.08 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Over | 17c | 1,412$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.01 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 42c | 1,184$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 147 | 27.2%40 W · 107 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 33c | 867.97$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.43 | 191 | 35.1%67 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 23c | 384.01$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.91 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 20c | 338$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.79 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 71c | 323.54$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.12 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 80c | 320.96$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.59 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 11c | 299.87$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.06 | 188 | 28.7%54 W · 134 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 75c | 217.57$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.52 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Over | 14c | 178.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 18c | 107.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Under | 67c | 90.45$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.85 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…9487backed Over | 21c | 72.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 73c | 68.36$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Over | 46c | 65.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Under | 67c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 106 | 54.7%58 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 34c | 59.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 270 | 31.5%85 W · 185 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34b7…b066backed Over | 30c | 47.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf503…39e2backed Over | 29c | 45.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Over | 28c | 43.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Under | 74c | 40.64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 104 | 65.4%68 W · 36 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfca7…2bbdbacked Under | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 28c | 40.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d49…7cc0backed Under | 73c | 30.48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafcf…72f6backed Under | 76c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 67c | 21.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 209 | 58.4%122 W · 87 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcb…207cbacked Under | 74c | 14.08$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.62 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mirassol FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 3.5this page
- Mirassol FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Mirassol FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 1.5Over won
- Mirassol FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 2.5Over won
- Mirassol FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Mirassol FC (-1.5)SC Corinthians Paulista won
- Spread: Mirassol FC (-2.5)SC Corinthians Paulista won
- Spread: SC Corinthians Paulista (-1.5)Mirassol FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.