South American Leagues · resolved market
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-05-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5bb448b80862400b8fd456a4bb30bf94fd1eeefd46af78ac4a6e309ee9ff688
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,756
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,763
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,756 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5f9…87b0backed Yes | 78c | 5,092$3,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.2 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 23c | 2,337$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.08 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…acc4backed No | 25c | 2,326$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.91 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 22c | 2,216$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.87 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 21c | 2,097$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.17 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 18c | 1,890$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.18 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x555b…c93dbacked Yes | 78c | 1,466$1,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6206…2a80backed No | 24c | 1,383$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 21c | 1,266$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.94 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 75c | 1,078$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.96 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed No | 22c | 996$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.12 | 145 | 40%58 W · 87 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…6b59backed No | 22c | 894$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.68 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 74c | 862.91$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.96 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 77c | 852.08$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.01 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 77c | 847.73$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.73 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Yes | 72c | 813.48$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.78 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -7.4wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 17c | 801.4$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.6 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 80c | 752.52$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.35 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 76c | 693.75$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.5 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 18c | 693.28$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.12 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 14c | 673.42$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.21 | 188 | 28.7%54 W · 134 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Yes | 77c | 666.13$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.92 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…d08bbacked Yes | 80c | 652$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.64 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26cb…9fe7backed No | 23c | 533.33$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 22c | 496.17$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.89 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 20c | 493.44$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.76 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e2…d3abbacked No | 24c | 432.26$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.48 | 124 | 14.5%18 W · 106 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…6079backed Yes | 76c | 431.03$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.45 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 24c | 372$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.28 | 273 | 49.5%135 W · 138 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked No | 25c | 339.36$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.81 | 332 | 66.3%220 W · 112 L | +24.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x319f…500bbacked Yes | 77c | 321.1$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.85 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa859…fdb5backed Yes | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 162 | 62.3%101 W · 61 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 77c | 226.14$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.05 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 19c | 204.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.51 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 12c | 201.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.03 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 24c | 199.03$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.77 | 275 | 49.1%135 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 25c | 179.1$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.72 | 416 | 54.3%226 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd764…ae83backed No | 19c | 159.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…9c69backed No | 18c | 145.52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4c…ad2fbacked Yes | 74c | 135.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.13 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1edb…a60bbacked No | 22c | 128.32$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.23 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda20…cb8dbacked Yes | 76c | 110.79$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.59 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed No | 22c | 105.41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.19 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ac…e7d7backed Yes | 79c | 101.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa299…ac77backed Yes | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda25…abafbacked Yes | 76c | 79.96$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.96 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 24c | 73.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c9…b92fbacked Yes | 76c | 73.37$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1c…bf99backed No | 19c | 71.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 27cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 22c | 70$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b0…cc4bbacked Yes | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab77…be6abacked Yes | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked No | 19c | 62.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed No | 24c | 52.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -7.0wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed Yes | 70c | 45.45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 25c | 45.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 259 | 55.2%143 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e88…bd30backed Yes | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Yes | 76c | 37.96$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Yes | 76c | 31.2$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.49 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Yes | 76c | 27.13$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.62 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63f2…b224backed Yes | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Yes | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +35%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 424 | 62.3%264 W · 160 L | +24.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b2…a6a3backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Yes | 78c | 23.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 103 | 65%67 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Yes | 75c | 22.89$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 286 | 65%186 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Yes | 75c | 19.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28b8…16fcbacked Yes | 79c | 15.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.19 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe10f…e8bbbacked Yes | 77c | 14.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.29 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-05-26?this page
- Will CA Boston River win on 2026-05-26?No won
- Will São Paulo FC vs. CA Boston River end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.