Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x624db43d700f19ccf419a9fb68b6e300996255f726f1c2439753caf4a6ec7d7a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,548
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,280
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,548 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xadba…b0afbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 84 | 0%0 W · 84 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8c…f5e2backed Yes | 64c | 756.44$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.1 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1b…d915backed Yes | 11c | 479.53$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.43 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 31c | 300.46$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a07…923fbacked No | 77c | 297.8$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.22 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x213e…5e0fbacked Yes | 23c | 266.75$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.85 | 657 | 49.8%327 W · 330 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe693…dd17backed Yes | 23c | 235.73$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.42 | 278 | 41%114 W · 164 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 33c | 225.17$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.15 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 8c | 198.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 36c | 191.86$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.07 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 34c | 187$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.24 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0a…5f98backed Yes | 31c | 182.46$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.45 | 395 | 35.4%140 W · 255 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff29…f008backed No | 22c | 180$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +13.9wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xce5d…5b70backed Yes | 35c | 179.41$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.35 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 71c | 161.08$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.33 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 70c | 154.84$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.9 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed No | 63c | 153.36$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.08 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 31c | 153.05$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.03 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed Yes | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1,242 | 16.7%207 W · 1,035 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 29c | 148.58$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.49 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked No | 69c | 148.18$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…c770backed Yes | 37c | 143.86$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.67 | 395 | 41.3%163 W · 232 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb1…7318backed Yes | 40c | 141.05$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.89 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 65c | 138.81$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.48 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…6c5fbacked No | 59c | 128.55$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.69 | 342 | 50.6%173 W · 169 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c94…5a2bbacked Yes | 16c | 122.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 84 | 17.9%15 W · 69 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 60c | 116.01$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.6 | 656 | 25.8%169 W · 487 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5e…a8cfbacked No | 62c | 113.87$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.81 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaff7…fb8bbacked Yes | 20c | 106.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 513 | 21.2%109 W · 404 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5680…7f79backed No | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76a2…6651backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb938…c094backed Yes | 42c | 97.81$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.46 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Yes | 16c | 88.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 118 | 33.1%39 W · 79 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…88e1backed Yes | 35c | 87.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.17 | 1,298 | 33.1%430 W · 868 L | +39.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 66c | 81.11$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.37 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c1…bec3backed Yes | 30c | 70.87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 28c | 66.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c9…d2b8backed Yes | 39c | 64.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 535 | 47.5%254 W · 281 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad8a…9d7bbacked No | 76c | 64$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.63 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd28…ab89backed Yes | 25c | 63.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +233.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 59c | 52$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb0…c1d7backed Yes | 36c | 51.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb26d…039fbacked Yes | 37c | 51.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8d…a96cbacked Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 810 | 29.1%236 W · 574 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04c…c640backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 233 | 49.8%116 W · 117 L | -15.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5368…e7b8backed Yes | 30c | 49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x879e…e339backed No | 62c | 48.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 175 | 55.4%97 W · 78 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x951c…d8c7backed Yes | 40c | 48.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 683 | 35.4%242 W · 441 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…1821backed No | 74c | 42.43$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 1,061 | 53.2%564 W · 497 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked No | 72c | 41.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 636 | 56.1%357 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…1096backed Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68ff…e1b0backed Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3646…ba5abacked Yes | 33c | 39.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 407 | 41.3%168 W · 239 L | +32.5wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…6465backed No | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 375 | 33.6%126 W · 249 L | -11.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5757…9e19backed No | 75c | 39.23$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 451 | 62.1%280 W · 171 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90b7…148cbacked Yes | 38c | 39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 93 | 31.2%29 W · 64 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0461…fcbcbacked No | 60c | 38.2$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.28 | 724 | 66.2%479 W · 245 L | +33.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x029a…8039backed Yes | 37c | 38.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 34c | 36.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb2…14d6backed No | 68c | 32.91$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | -8.6wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd371…8f17backed Yes | 41c | 32.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced6…3f6dbacked No | 59c | 32.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 79 | 12.7%10 W · 69 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c9…b92fbacked Yes | 33c | 31.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab5…f7d8backed No | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 76 | 7.9%6 W · 70 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3b…2eb3backed No | 68c | 30.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb456…1774backed Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 32cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…0e4fbacked No | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 74 | 68.9%51 W · 23 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93b3…dc40backed No | 70c | 28.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed No | 70c | 25.53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39da…5318backed Yes | 42c | 25.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…043abacked No | 60c | 25.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 41c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 175 | 70.3%123 W · 52 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef98…b586backed No | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 907 | 34.5%313 W · 594 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb34d…e1bdbacked No | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 81 | 64.2%52 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 80c | 20.93$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.19 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a9…3003backed No | 66c | 20.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcce…65afbacked No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 277 | 71.5%198 W · 79 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x966c…087fbacked No | 74c | 19.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 441 | 47.4%209 W · 232 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cf…7825backed No | 60c | 19.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 289 | 54.3%157 W · 132 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa608…6c30backed No | 73c | 17.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.81 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b2…9d28backed No | 70c | 16.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a5c…e8f2backed No | 63c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffd…e7c6backed No | 63c | 15.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 516 | 31.6%163 W · 353 L | -29.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa565…615abacked No | 72c | 15.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cf…464bbacked No | 70c | 14.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 1,115 | 63.4%707 W · 408 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 17?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be 90°F or higher on April 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on April 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on April 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on April 17?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on April 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on April 17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.