South American Leagues · resolved market
Red Bull Bragantino vs. CA River Plate: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc924b02e7b4f3c0ac5e0d5f26e329dfd7d20f17968db21567a702a7335edf45f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,885
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,678
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,885 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 62c | 2,849$1,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.14 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Over | 25c | 1,511$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.67 | 71 | 25.4%18 W · 53 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under | 41c | 1,484$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.27 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 53c | 839.48$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over | 62c | 803.23$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498 | 115 | 65.2%75 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13bb…d552backed Over | 55c | 542.68$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df4…0540backed Over | 62c | 528.58$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc92d…9691backed Over | 63c | 400.98$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.62 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 67c | 310$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.34 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 34c | 300$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 25c | 293.1$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.27 | 77 | 22.1%17 W · 60 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a8…daabbacked Over | 35c | 225.66$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Under | 55c | 222.22$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Over | 66c | 199.86$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.91 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…46e5backed Over | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5d…67b4backed Under | 39c | 126.92$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 33c | 106.83$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.89 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 66c | 103.08$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.03 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…bb1dbacked Over | 55c | 96.36$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…4397backed Over | 51c | 96.08$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 68c | 81.35$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.88 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x989c…3003backed Over | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Under | 38c | 65.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.78 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 33c | 54.37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.52 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Over | 52c | 53.68$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.67 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa733…5264backed Over | 35c | 52.17$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x398d…b8d6backed Under | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Over | 67c | 44.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 162 | 66%107 W · 55 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0079…b852backed Over | 67c | 35.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…c9a8backed Under | 38c | 34.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -5.5wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Under | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 66c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c9…b92fbacked Over | 67c | 20.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa7…303dbacked Under | 69c | 14.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. CA River Plate: O/U 1.5this page
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. CA River Plate: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. CA River Plate: O/U 2.5Under won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. CA River Plate: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA River Plate (-1.5)Red Bull Bragantino won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.