South American Leagues · resolved market
Red Bull Bragantino vs. CA River Plate: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x068fe4633de9fd5b4cffa1d9974a74098fdf5bf6eeda1b5e8a90c740000b07bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,022
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,649
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,022 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 47c | 3,745$1,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,758.42 | 71 | 25.4%18 W · 53 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 53c | 3,114$1,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,452.78 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 60c | 1,304$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.66 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Yes | 45c | 555.56$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 115 | 65.2%75 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 51c | 315.76$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.88 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9375…b655backed No | 52c | 288$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 23c | 266.65$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.33 | 117 | 17.9%21 W · 96 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked Yes | 49c | 228.57$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cff…db9cbacked Yes | 44c | 227.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc115…9138backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.26 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Yes | 48c | 122.96$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.02 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x550e…0840backed Yes | 43c | 105.65$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.43 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…385abacked Yes | 50c | 96$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Yes | 34c | 73.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 52c | 71.7$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.32 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Yes | 48c | 63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x516e…00afbacked No | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.32per pick | 56cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a7…f2b7backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 51c | 45.32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.41 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 270 | 31.5%85 W · 185 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 67c | 38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 51c | 31.07$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.23 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…d7ecbacked Yes | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2119…9303backed Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb5…8620backed Yes | 49c | 26.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf7…183ebacked Yes | 49c | 26.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72b8…6253backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed No | 56c | 18.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa461…b669backed No | 68c | 17.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. CA River Plate: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. CA River Plate: O/U 1.5Under won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. CA River Plate: O/U 2.5Under won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. CA River Plate: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA River Plate (-1.5)Red Bull Bragantino won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.