South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Santos FC win on 2026-05-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25018950de5f247d602e874d034bd61dff497fc94036c41f62f0d58bcb31e384
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,299
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,272
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,299 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 20c | 3,057$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.55 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed No | 58c | 999.98$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.99 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 43c | 715.02$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.78 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3891…c730backed Yes | 55c | 671.95$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 10c | 534.35$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.22 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf703…541abacked Yes | 51c | 505.41$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa90…7f0bbacked Yes | 56c | 373.7$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.17 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 53c | 313.48$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.74 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc15…03d8backed Yes | 42c | 306.05$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6797…e0e5backed Yes | 63c | 255.56$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 41c | 244.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.54 | 135 | 45.2%61 W · 74 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x319f…500bbacked Yes | 56c | 230$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.8 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 40c | 224.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.96 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 44c | 215.16$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.49 | 130 | 59.2%77 W · 53 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…9c69backed No | 44c | 212.68$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.1 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…7776backed No | 44c | 205.59$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.13 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 45c | 203.56$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.92 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 45c | 203.1$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.66 | 218 | 44.5%97 W · 121 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked No | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0d…1d6dbacked Yes | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 46c | 195.19$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.4 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3534…a1b3backed Yes | 62c | 182.39$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.08 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed Yes | 38c | 160$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.8 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked No | 62c | 160$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.8 | 157 | 68.2%107 W · 50 L | +21.8wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…df06backed Yes | 62c | 151.63$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.01 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 63c | 148.37$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.47 | 77 | 22.1%17 W · 60 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 42c | 111.4$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.61 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b0…cc4bbacked No | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c2…e9bfbacked Yes | 51c | 110.72$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.47 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcee2…4d6ebacked Yes | 63c | 104.76$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 56c | 104.76$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.78 | 289 | 40.1%116 W · 173 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59a4…260fbacked Yes | 62c | 100.44$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.27 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a51…1933backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +80.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Yes | 56c | 97.61$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.66 | 64 | 68.8%44 W · 20 L | +8.7wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 44c | 96.88$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.26 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 61c | 80$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 34c | 76.78$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 61c | 69$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.15 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec2e…6686backed Yes | 55c | 63.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Yes | 39c | 62.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7296…69f5backed No | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c9…b92fbacked Yes | 57c | 45.93$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 66c | 45.07$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…829fbacked Yes | 41c | 42.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Yes | 51c | 39.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…f124backed Yes | 55c | 36.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 59c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc363…8845backed Yes | 58c | 33.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +40%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8367…7eaebacked Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 416 | 54.3%226 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes | 56c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc986…1654backed Yes | 53c | 28.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -35%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes | 51c | 26.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11dc…42c2backed Yes | 56c | 22.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Yes | 58c | 20.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 166 | 53.6%89 W · 77 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc6…734abacked No | 78c | 16.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -36%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 78c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.86 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Santos FC win on 2026-05-17?this page
- Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-05-17?Yes won
- Will Santos FC vs. Coritiba FBC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.