South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-05-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf64c68397f99c1db8a8e49cbde588b0fa70ddf544c5a2c0f920a4fad94daeaba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,733
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,528
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,733 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Yes | 62c | 20,819$12,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,008.16 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 23c | 7,349$1,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,696.58 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 49c | 6,652$3,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,243.25 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 15c | 3,150$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,677.5 | 436 | 18.8%82 W · 354 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 38c | 3,024$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.46 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 26c | 2,780$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.61 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 41c | 2,650$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.19 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 26c | 2,325$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.08 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 38c | 1,940$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.48 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 23c | 1,510$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.31 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed No | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4538…7d5cbacked Yes | 69c | 875.48$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.48 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.47per pick | 39cpaid | +162.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…4ce5backed Yes | 67c | 873.62$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.62 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 232 | 54.7%127 W · 105 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 80c | 560.75$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.6 | 130 | 59.2%77 W · 53 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 15c | 552.94$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9e…6838backed Yes | 36c | 456$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +149.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8339…caa9backed Yes | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 42c | 249.06$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.84 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca85…7453backed Yes | 64c | 234.38$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.38 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed No | 6c | 215$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Yes | 36c | 181$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.84 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd4…5aaebacked Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20b3…93cbbacked Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 15c | 151$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.35 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 16c | 132.09$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.7 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb1…7505backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +99.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe720…2bb3backed Yes | 17c | 90$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 19cpaid | +215.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…829fbacked No | 58c | 80.44$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.77 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef5…e25cbacked Yes | 18c | 72.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed No | 39c | 64.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Yes | 69c | 59.36$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 67cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Yes | 70c | 56.76$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.76 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 28c | 51.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 199 | 53.3%106 W · 93 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x697e…9904backed No | 39c | 28.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 74c | 28.06$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 71c | 27.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 77c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…49e0backed Yes | 75c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd0…c747backed Yes | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92b9…eb9dbacked Yes | 63c | 20.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4f…8921backed Yes | 69c | 16.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -76%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-05-17?this page
- Will Santos FC vs. Coritiba FBC end in a draw?No won
- Will Santos FC win on 2026-05-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.