South American Leagues · resolved market
Will SC Corinthians Paulista vs. São Paulo FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9db48c6c845b8d884636bd5b541aa8bd38e5afdd41e323826902a7fc454b6baa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,178
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,591
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,178 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Yes | 4c | 8,352$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 78c | 2,560$1,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.49 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6580…6fa8backed Yes | 31c | 1,210$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.1 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 69c | 1,200$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372 | 230 | 57.4%132 W · 98 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…679ebacked Yes | 42c | 1,169$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 31c | 536.3$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.67 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 20c | 417.54$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.22 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…2c42backed Yes | 31c | 410$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46c…1618backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +51%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 71c | 249.31$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.66 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 31c | 199.97$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.99 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…9c69backed No | 70c | 196.27$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.88 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 69c | 173.8$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.88 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 31c | 170.39$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.82 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 68c | 160.6$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…cfdebacked No | 59c | 156.89$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.32 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…5292backed Yes | 27c | 147.51$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 30c | 120$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked No | 70c | 102.7$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.81 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 68c | 100.63$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8f…da09backed Yes | 24c | 85.49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed Yes | 25c | 69.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 30c | 56.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 70c | 50.25$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed No | 70c | 47.77$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde51…f222backed Yes | 26c | 42.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed No | 63c | 42.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.65 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…f48bbacked Yes | 42c | 40.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fab…9db1backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0720…89a7backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff30…88bdbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 56c | 30.57$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…03e5backed Yes | 39c | 27.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 73c | 24.97$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 76c | 23.43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 199 | 53.3%106 W · 93 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 62c | 22.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae4…4484backed No | 70c | 21.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 70cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 86 | 68.6%59 W · 27 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 67c | 17.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed No | 69c | 17.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 69c | 14.62$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.53 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SC Corinthians Paulista vs. São Paulo FC end in a draw?this page
- Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-05-10?Yes won
- Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-05-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.