TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-04-05?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$37,589
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$39,005

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,589 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe2bb…ea55backed No55c4,445$2,427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,018.297441.9%31 W · 43 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Yes45c2,918$1,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,313.319846%91 W · 107 L+13.5wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed No48c1,957$936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,021.428651.7%148 W · 138 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x05d8…31cfbacked No53c1,580$835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745.16785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick62cpaid+38%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe11a…53ebbacked No55c1,350$743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.2210155.4%56 W · 45 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed Yes46c1,306$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.88825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-47.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes3c1,101$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2539127.1%106 W · 285 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes49c977.79$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.991,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes13c962.46$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.651,09155.6%607 W · 484 L-19.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes40c749.99$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.52,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes32c672.91$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.3512827.3%35 W · 93 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No47c540.54$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.851,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5941…9583backed No56c521.57$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.491850%9 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e8e…4cacbacked Yes2c503.51$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.11425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-40.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes15c476.12$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.348,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes33c458.08$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.171,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No75c451.38$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.041,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No47c443.85$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.6523254.7%127 W · 105 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Yes46c420.7$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.529831.6%31 W · 67 L-11.2wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-24.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No76c403.11$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.595,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes53c377.35$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019963.8%127 W · 72 L+19.3wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+23.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes45c375$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.751,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes45c367.33$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.33,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No55c357.17$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.531,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Yes9c336.74$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298740.2%35 W · 52 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes33c303.79$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.1484943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No54c301.36$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.021,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Yes8c286.47$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1116255.6%90 W · 72 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8b9…46e4backed Yes6c278.63$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.723053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-14.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes45c265.11$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.31,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes45c250$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.51,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07d0…1310backed No61c227.43$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.423764.9%24 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+20.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No61c224.55$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.357157.8%330 W · 241 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No61c224.55$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.336757.5%211 W · 156 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed No61c224.55$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.328158.7%165 W · 116 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No61c224.55$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.341256.6%233 W · 179 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No55c204.09$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.841,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes42c196.86$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.682,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No55c183$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.3521349.8%106 W · 107 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63c3…a7fdbacked Yes10c169.69$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.432373.9%17 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.15per pick59cpaid+24.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Yes52c169.2$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.9833658.3%196 W · 140 L+32.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+19.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1c04…a5c1backed Yes46c168.28$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.413345.5%15 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae7b…aec1backed No60c162.8$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.212853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Yes13c161.46$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.716740.1%67 W · 100 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe735…4198backed No55c150$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.51861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Yes53c149.37$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.1731355.6%174 W · 139 L+24.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x94f9…e1b8backed Yes36c133.56$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.088843.2%38 W · 50 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No58c126.72$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.2251654.8%283 W · 233 L+0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes16c122.9$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.111,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No74c111.47$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.351,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbef8…7445backed No55c105.61$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.53366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid+6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes45c105.39$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4310846.3%50 W · 58 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8d7…406dbacked No47c98.49$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.715935.6%21 W · 38 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9303…0bc7backed Yes46c90.16$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.47714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.30per pick44cpaid-50.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2baf…8023backed No55c87.99$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.271952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf1e…5d9bbacked Yes45c85.1$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.294568.9%31 W · 14 L+7.1wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+28.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed No60c81.29$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.4912259%72 W · 50 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa965…7f73backed No58c67.23$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.249447.9%45 W · 49 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x452f…b277backed Yes46c65.21$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011637.1%43 W · 73 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x97f7…ada9backed Yes45c64.47$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.011346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-23.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes29c61.67$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7794848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed No54c59.99$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.68045%36 W · 44 L-7.2wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-23.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Yes43c56.15$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.158451.2%43 W · 41 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-15.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf09b…5971backed Yes36c53.22$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.231526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Yes46c48.38$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.259353.8%50 W · 43 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Yes45c46.66$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215058%29 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes53c45.12$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.911,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8146…fe66backed Yes44c43.93$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.331816.7%3 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick31cpaid-62.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf9f0…b7b1backed Yes44c40.72$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.921241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked No60c40.67$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2719955.8%111 W · 88 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes37c39.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7271619.7%141 W · 575 L-49.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcb71…288ebacked No72c34.31$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.672185.7%18 W · 3 L+5.1wins+0.25per pick61cpaid+48.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4d2b…5271backed No61c34.17$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.472657.7%15 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Yes52c33.88$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.626352.4%33 W · 30 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe33d…9512backed Yes36c32.95$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.793444.1%15 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7072…d945backed Yes45c31.59$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.21933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-33.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b80…8b39backed Yes46c31.55$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.516943.5%30 W · 39 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked No67c30.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.837839.7%31 W · 47 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb651…4a7cbacked No54c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.84163.4%26 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e9f…b23bbacked No55c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.58261%50 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes45c25.21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.342,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a3d…4d49backed Yes45c25.1$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.33647.2%17 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes54c25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.51,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1792…118abacked Yes60c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1529362.5%183 W · 110 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+1.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa923…6704backed No55c24.89$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.229053.8%156 W · 134 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f39…a78cbacked Yes55c24.08$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.241136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc1c…2bf2backed No70c19.77$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.031675%12 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe777…c734backed No58c18.12$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.615860.3%35 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.