South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Mirassol FC vs. Red Bull Bragantino end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4cb02f9be377052414afd2ce97eb62ae1fc4a3c1b2734ea90ca6aeff9c3616b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,246
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,267
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,246 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 75c | 3,745$2,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.32 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 27c | 1,920$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.44 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 30c | 770.53$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.26 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 15c | 632.98$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.9 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f7…b466backed Yes | 6c | 471.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x702b…dedebacked Yes | 29c | 330.14$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.74 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0efb…016cbacked No | 70c | 210.43$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.13 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 70c | 192.15$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.28 | 128 | 27.3%35 W · 93 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 71c | 177.94$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0542…e195backed Yes | 25c | 154.37$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.59 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2807…27d5backed Yes | 16c | 148.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 60 | 20%12 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Yes | 33c | 124.09$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 27c | 92.91$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 66c | 88.91$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.19 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb20f…5737backed No | 71c | 87.97$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.51 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Yes | 15c | 85.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 71c | 65.52$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…b277backed Yes | 29c | 62.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 71c | 52.87$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.35 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aef…9d05backed Yes | 29c | 52.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ff…84d1backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dda…8799backed No | 69c | 42.87$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 28c | 35.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 71c | 29.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked No | 66c | 28.16$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked No | 71c | 27.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked No | 66c | 22.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.69 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f0…b7b1backed No | 71c | 22.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 70c | 20.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2a53…074abacked No | 68c | 20.36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 43 | 74.4%32 W · 11 L | +6.7wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 72c | 17.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.98 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked No | 70c | 17.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 63 | 69.8%44 W · 19 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 71c | 15.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.38 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed No | 77c | 13.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.18 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mirassol FC vs. Red Bull Bragantino end in a draw?this page
- Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-04-05?No won
- Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-04-05?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.