TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Rangers vs. Twins

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rangersof Rangers, Twins
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$135,664
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$161,599

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $135,664 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfba6…375cbacked Twins23c9,659$2,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,206.3686751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc605…d372backed Rangers62c9,122$5,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,509.358641.9%36 W · 50 L-15.3wins-0.18per pick60cpaid-32.4%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Twins16c7,524$1,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.322,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Twins59c5,976$3,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,496.452,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2354…20d0backed Twins0c5,947$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154043.5%14 W · 390 L-19.4wins-0.05per pick8cpaid-59.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Twins41c5,081$2,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,107.291,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62c6…55acbacked Rangers42c4,997$2,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,920.8810143.6%44 W · 57 L+0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Twins58c4,528$2,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,640.181,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe768…9d43backed Twins44c4,119$1,815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,814.8619650.5%99 W · 97 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Rangers41c3,902$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,302.1760451%308 W · 296 L-2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38ba…92f7backed Twins59c3,752$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2009246.7%43 W · 49 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Rangers42c3,333$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,933.1498149.8%489 W · 492 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadf0…00fbbacked Rangers41c2,895$1,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,708.2649250.4%248 W · 244 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Twins43c2,407$1,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,034.599,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Twins1c2,011$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.435053.8%19 W · 486 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0410…6556backed Twins69c2,001$1,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,384.725244.2%23 W · 29 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x03cd…9fdabacked Twins60c2,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20031346.6%146 W · 167 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x28bc…e520backed Rangers40c1,994$798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,196.3327953.4%149 W · 130 L+16.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Twins59c1,502$886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886.4341643.8%182 W · 234 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Rangers42c1,500$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$869.9995850%479 W · 479 L+4.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Twins2c1,457$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45db…51c6backed Twins18c1,361$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.344748.9%23 W · 24 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+57.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Twins8c1,320$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.627733.6%93 W · 184 L+13.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Rangers41c1,220$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.511,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x23c3…ad95backed Twins1c1,202$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-45.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Rangers28c1,200$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86420450.5%103 W · 101 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ea7…7a4abacked Rangers74c1,188$879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.841963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3451…49a5backed Rangers42c1,128$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.431650%8 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54f2…d0e3backed Rangers55c1,128$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.1314951.7%77 W · 72 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07cb…743cbacked Rangers80c1,043$834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.6811357.5%65 W · 48 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5cf…e4bcbacked Rangers42c1,041$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.963661.1%22 W · 14 L+5.9wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+31.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Rangers50c1,008$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.8495930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Twins59c1,000$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5901,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Rangers42c965.1$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.3953448.9%261 W · 273 L-1.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49ce…13eebacked Twins11c910$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006538.5%25 W · 40 L-6.1wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-28.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Twins58c830$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.91,21252.1%631 W · 581 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcce…136abacked Rangers43c825.58$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.5829240.8%119 W · 173 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Twins58c820.57$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.515,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf092…4ebabacked Twins37c803.07$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.0119852.5%104 W · 94 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Rangers54c558.65$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.9825551%130 W · 125 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Rangers39c491.8$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30033852.1%176 W · 162 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e12…7348backed Twins61c491.8$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30038455.7%214 W · 170 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f93…e313backed Rangers41c473.17$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.1715543.2%67 W · 88 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27be…e3a9backed Rangers43c465.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.382646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa38f…7e3bbacked Rangers42c454.57$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.651070%7 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+24.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0778…443ebacked Rangers42c439.5$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.91933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-34.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc028…9349backed Rangers63c423.68$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.766046.7%28 W · 32 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x398c…3738backed Rangers42c418.29$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.611070%7 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+39.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Twins28c415.48$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.551,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Rangers40c399.99$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.993,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd147…1070backed Rangers45c392.38$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.423941%16 W · 23 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2252…3f47backed Rangers42c391.45$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.041070%7 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+44.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Rangers42c357.14$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.141,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x735d…dd21backed Twins59c349.47$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.191040%4 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-30.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf64a…27c9backed Rangers54c339.43$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.145545.5%25 W · 30 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb775…8b05backed Twins59c337.32$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.021172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+22.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf387…93e6backed Twins59c332.61$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.241050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07e8…ea41backed Twins61c329.15$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200922.2%2 W · 7 L-3.2wins-0.36per pick58cpaid-69.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf1c8…074cbacked Twins59c319.2$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.331154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Twins39c317.54$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1252,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Twins38c265.79$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10066645.5%303 W · 363 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Rangers40c249.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.991,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Rangers41c249.98$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.691,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5546…d4cbbacked Twins59c223.47$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.85944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2dbd…ed66backed Twins58c220$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.62941.4%12 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-22%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Rangers39c219.98$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.191,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Twins54c217.39$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.3979740.4%322 W · 475 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Twins60c215$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12999951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Rangers41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11892754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b6d…5f97backed Twins38c197.37$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758146.9%38 W · 43 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Rangers35c195.76$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.888139.5%32 W · 49 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked Rangers49c194.99$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.4445248.2%218 W · 234 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked Twins48c187$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.1765549.3%323 W · 332 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Twins60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023852.9%126 W · 112 L-0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Twins61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb58…0e11backed Twins44c162.78$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.2342955%236 W · 193 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Rangers43c160$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.22,04553.8%1,100 W · 945 L+32.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe653…ac06backed Rangers41c146.34$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.342744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf02…d625backed Twins59c138.61$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.78944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x734e…0d0dbacked Rangers41c136.72$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.662630.8%8 W · 18 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-30.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9f19…72d9backed Rangers39c129.97$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.2841649%204 W · 212 L+14.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xae09…fa6dbacked Twins60c123$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.87549.3%37 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81f8…ead6backed Rangers42c121.52$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.482828.6%8 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-30.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x17e0…1e88backed Rangers41c109.76$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.7654441.2%224 W · 320 L-22.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9bc9…7e5bbacked Rangers41c109.76$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.7618951.3%97 W · 92 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc307…3012backed Rangers41c109.76$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.76540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d3…3917backed Twins61c102.76$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.683265.6%21 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Rangers40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6025416.1%41 W · 213 L-15.3wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-57.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x44dd…7153backed Twins59c99.97$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.984740.4%19 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Rangers42c90$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.21,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Twins59c85$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.1524250.8%123 W · 119 L+14.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed Twins64c78.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+15.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Twins27c71.83$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.314,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Twins29c71.57$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6963942.7%273 W · 366 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Rangers51c71.41$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.9939041%160 W · 230 L-22.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf235…366dbacked Rangers42c64.26$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.271,07846.3%499 W · 579 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e17…e4d4backed Rangers65c61.54$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.5416055.6%89 W · 71 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21ef…5a04backed Twins61c60.66$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+34%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x051d…6980backed Twins59c57.6$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9820343.8%89 W · 114 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8097…8a5fbacked Twins62c56.92$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2911748.7%57 W · 60 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.