NBA · resolved market

Thunder vs. Jazz

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2cf018ed551d33e00fa3514bc338efb444699a21e17b000e54289aafcd8b26e

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Thunderof Thunder, Jazz
Resolved: Feb 22, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $411,855
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $410,990

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $411,855 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc867…7020backed Jazz	11c	124,935$13,743 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,742.86	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd3b1…6f55backed Jazz	11c	35,509$3,906 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,905.96	202	38.6%78 W · 124 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda6b…20bebacked Jazz	12c	15,834$1,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,900	83	43.4%36 W · 47 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Jazz	11c	12,803$1,371 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,371.31	469	28.4%133 W · 336 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xbaec…dd15backed Jazz	2c	12,635$254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$253.54	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-1.2wins	-0.13per pick	24cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Jazz	2c	11,847$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.89	878	3%26 W · 852 L	-22.3wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-62%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a93…ecf9backed Jazz	10c	10,544$1,054 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,054.4	112	50.9%57 W · 55 L	-2.9wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Jazz	11c	10,435$1,172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,172.32	1,782	28%499 W · 1,283 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked Jazz	10c	10,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	308	26.6%82 W · 226 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73f0…3d28backed Jazz	4c	7,251$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265.13	364	34.9%127 W · 237 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Jazz	1c	6,456$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.49	376	27.9%105 W · 271 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Jazz	0c	6,000$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.5	457	3.5%16 W · 441 L	+4.4wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa27b…5d5cbacked Jazz	9c	5,795$522 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$521.59	204	47.1%96 W · 108 L	-6.7wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Jazz	11c	5,000$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550	1,290	44%567 W · 723 L	+35.0wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe85e…2aebbacked Jazz	11c	4,559$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	94	37.2%35 W · 59 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Jazz	1c	3,826$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.3	1,602	11.8%189 W · 1,413 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Jazz	10c	3,600$351 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$351.29	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d5f…82cfbacked Jazz	10c	3,484$348 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$348.41	85	21.2%18 W · 67 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	+33.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5dd8…858ebacked Jazz	2c	3,247$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.83	365	14.2%52 W · 313 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Jazz	11c	3,000$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$329.99	406	27.8%113 W · 293 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Jazz	10c	2,879$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$287.89	200	47%94 W · 106 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6dd…bf2bbacked Jazz	6c	2,737$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.32	46	28.3%13 W · 33 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	26cpaid	+19.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0905…e5c0backed Jazz	1c	2,650$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.25	424	34.4%146 W · 278 L	-19.4wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf8f7…f347backed Jazz	12c	2,185$262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$262.14	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Jazz	8c	1,850$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	370	11.4%42 W · 328 L	-6.2wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb215…b819backed Jazz	12c	1,708$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	261	24.1%63 W · 198 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e95…89d2backed Jazz	11c	1,200$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.6wins	+0.07per pick	38cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5444…26b1backed Jazz	11c	1,120$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.2	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	+1.8wins	+0.08per pick	44cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe35…d34abacked Jazz	9c	1,111$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	88	23.9%21 W · 67 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9977…085fbacked Jazz	12c	1,003$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	166	17.5%29 W · 137 L	-6.2wins	-0.04per pick	21cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Jazz	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1,277	2.3%29 W · 1,248 L	-11.7wins	-0.01per pick	3cpaid	-84%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fe8…56a3backed Jazz	11c	999.99$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	321	30.2%97 W · 224 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8da2…50cebacked Jazz	11c	974.88$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.95	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.09per pick	20cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3603…ac36backed Jazz	12c	857.69$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	113	55.8%63 W · 50 L	+10.2wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+18.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb091…2017backed Jazz	12c	836.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	117	55.6%65 W · 52 L	+7.4wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5dd9…2af2backed Jazz	12c	833.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	49	36.7%18 W · 31 L	+2.7wins	+0.06per pick	31cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c56…5a66backed Jazz	12c	833.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	110	40.9%45 W · 65 L	+4.3wins	+0.04per pick	37cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ecd…a578backed Jazz	11c	737.99$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.18	231	35.1%81 W · 150 L	-11.1wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc486…ab6fbacked Jazz	12c	725.75$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.09	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc913…e51cbacked Jazz	10c	650$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-43.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8adc…7a1bbacked Jazz	11c	600$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	169	28.4%48 W · 121 L	+8.7wins	+0.05per pick	23cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Jazz	2c	595.03$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.54	550	2.5%14 W · 536 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Jazz	11c	590.91$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	451	35%158 W · 293 L	-6.9wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd121…54c7backed Jazz	11c	565.39$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	74	32.4%24 W · 50 L	-3.4wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5215…2c0ebacked Jazz	12c	561.75$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.41	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.11per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d33…ffdbbacked Jazz	11c	545.45$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+1.7wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Jazz	10c	500$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	1,888	37.3%704 W · 1,184 L	+9.9wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Jazz	7c	499.99$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	443	37.9%168 W · 275 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xadbe…bc55backed Jazz	10c	499.93$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.99	504	53.8%271 W · 233 L	-8.2wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fe8…2d47backed Jazz	11c	464$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.04	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xed91…4bd6backed Jazz	11c	454.55$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	63	34.9%22 W · 41 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda98…a6a9backed Jazz	11c	454.55$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	38	31.6%12 W · 26 L	-4.4wins	-0.12per pick	43cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcef6…4641backed Jazz	11c	454.55$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	104	26%27 W · 77 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0af…5490backed Jazz	7c	428.57$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	288	56.9%164 W · 124 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x83c5…e193backed Jazz	10c	402.89$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.29	79	35.4%28 W · 51 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd57…c7e2backed Jazz	11c	400$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	146	43.8%64 W · 82 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33dc…415ebacked Jazz	11c	400$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	316	31.6%100 W · 216 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3212…1f37backed Jazz	11c	363.64$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	127	45.7%58 W · 69 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b35…a749backed Jazz	14c	345.18$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	364	23.4%85 W · 279 L	-15.3wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Jazz	10c	299.99$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	686	42.1%289 W · 397 L	+9.9wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0333…056abacked Jazz	10c	297.1$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.71	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+1.5wins	+0.12per pick	50cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3dcf…a4d1backed Jazz	10c	293.3$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.33	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	57cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x46eb…4d20backed Jazz	11c	284$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.24	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3abc…07b0backed Jazz	11c	281.82$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	139	42.4%59 W · 80 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39dc…8d05backed Jazz	12c	275$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	140	51.4%72 W · 68 L	+9.4wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf447…acc4backed Jazz	10c	272.3$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.23	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+1.3wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0853…6789backed Jazz	10c	268.8$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.88	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+1.3wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x97f0…bb27backed Jazz	11c	261.09$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.72	70	35.7%25 W · 45 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf0ec…6064backed Jazz	9c	250.39$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.54	139	29.5%41 W · 98 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeb4d…1d4cbacked Jazz	10c	245$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.5	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+0.9wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	-4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Jazz	11c	244$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.1	736	47.3%348 W · 388 L	-12.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf65…45d7backed Jazz	10c	238.19$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	62	33.9%21 W · 41 L	+2.6wins	+0.04per pick	30cpaid	+32.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Jazz	11c	235.38$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.34	1,554	37.3%579 W · 975 L	-48.1wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb94…d871backed Jazz	11c	228$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.08	196	50%98 W · 98 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1338…0fa9backed Jazz	11c	227.27$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	140	42.9%60 W · 80 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c15…6c6ebacked Jazz	11c	227.27$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	119	40.3%48 W · 71 L	-4.0wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1eee…782bbacked Jazz	11c	217.73$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.95	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+1.2wins	+0.09per pick	34cpaid	+28.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f4f…b4b3backed Jazz	9c	208.49$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.76	234	38.9%91 W · 143 L	+6.3wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf444…a9cebacked Jazz	10c	207.79$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x861e…dddebacked Jazz	11c	202.39$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.6	145	39.3%57 W · 88 L	-6.9wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Jazz	12c	201.75$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.21	949	51.3%487 W · 462 L	-21.2wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Jazz	11c	200$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.56	855	42%359 W · 496 L	+10.0wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf482…d3c3backed Jazz	8c	200$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	95	34.7%33 W · 62 L	+7.9wins	+0.08per pick	26cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Jazz	10c	199.99$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1,409	40.2%567 W · 842 L	-40.5wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Jazz	11c	181.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	380	27.1%103 W · 277 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc04d…69e7backed Jazz	11c	181.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa19…fb05backed Jazz	11c	181.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa273…7786backed Jazz	11c	181.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	54	35.2%19 W · 35 L	-6.1wins	-0.11per pick	46cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcc09…9d12backed Jazz	12c	170$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.4	49	49%24 W · 25 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x10f3…c5c3backed Jazz	11c	167$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.37	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6e4…0ee5backed Jazz	12c	166.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	286	51.4%147 W · 139 L	+10.6wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ea7…7a4abacked Jazz	12c	166.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	19	68.4%13 W · 6 L	+2.5wins	+0.13per pick	55cpaid	+9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9415…cb92backed Jazz	10c	164.3$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.43	62	32.3%20 W · 42 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3585…1595backed Jazz	9c	149.91$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.09	260	41.2%107 W · 153 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x76a2…1f3cbacked Jazz	12c	141.67$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	168	25.6%43 W · 125 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Jazz	8c	140.91$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	108	37%40 W · 68 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd85…26c6backed Jazz	11c	140$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.4	143	43.4%62 W · 81 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	+9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb4b…1717backed Jazz	11c	131$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.41	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa14f…00ffbacked Jazz	11c	118.18$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	134	45.5%61 W · 73 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5347…36a5backed Jazz	11c	109.09$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	127	52.8%67 W · 60 L	+5.3wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Thunder vs. Jazz

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market