MLB · resolved market
Twins vs. Astros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3c5dfc562752afbb7e42734f4622a053c7d6299ec6cf35c3481982ddae0a877
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astrosof Twins, Astros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $448,257
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $459,380
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $448,257 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Astros | 50c | 313,138$155,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157,789.09 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Twins | 51c | 126,616$64,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64,574.16 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Twins | 50c | 112,491$56,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,245.5 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Twins | 50c | 37,773$18,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,861.05 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Astros | 49c | 29,500$14,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,045 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Twins | 50c | 19,927$9,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,963.53 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Twins | 51c | 16,768$8,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,479.77 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Twins | 51c | 12,714$6,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,484.14 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Twins | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Twins | 52c | 8,524$4,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,432.62 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Astros | 48c | 8,389$4,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,352.65 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3451…49a5backed Astros | 50c | 4,690$2,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,345 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Astros | 53c | 4,667$2,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,176.15 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Twins | 47c | 4,393$2,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,066.39 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Twins | 50c | 3,690$1,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,845 | 1,153 | 49.2%567 W · 586 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Twins | 48c | 3,550$1,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,688.6 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Astros | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 98 | 62.2%61 W · 37 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Twins | 46c | 2,780$1,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,285.89 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Twins | 54c | 2,450$1,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,328.02 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Astros | 53c | 2,425$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.36 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Twins | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Twins | 51c | 2,000$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.37 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Astros | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Twins | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Astros | 50c | 1,999$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.5 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Astros | 54c | 1,707$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.07 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Astros | 49c | 1,700$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867 | 959 | 50.1%480 W · 479 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…7a4abacked Twins | 57c | 1,663$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Twins | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…77bfbacked Twins | 48c | 1,568$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.58 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Twins | 26c | 1,547$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Twins | 50c | 1,511$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.66 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Twins | 23c | 1,304$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Twins | 49c | 1,255$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.09 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Astros | 59c | 1,194$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.3 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Astros | 52c | 1,154$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.85 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Twins | 48c | 1,083$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.1 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Twins | 47c | 1,032$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.21 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Twins | 46c | 1,023$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.02 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Twins | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Twins | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Twins | 47c | 984.04$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.5 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Astros | 54c | 920.89$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.55 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc028…9349backed Twins | 40c | 858.8$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.52 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Astros | 52c | 800$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Twins | 48c | 747$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.71 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Twins | 37c | 738$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.06 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Astros | 53c | 622.19$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.43 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Twins | 47c | 619$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.93 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed Astros | 56c | 547.63$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.24 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Astros | 55c | 546.49$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.49 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59de…de22backed Twins | 47c | 509.78$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.29 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Astros | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.2 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Astros | 54c | 464.57$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.57 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Astros | 54c | 423$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.87 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Twins | 48c | 381.2$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 1,215 | 40.5%492 W · 723 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Astros | 61c | 369$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.91 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9e…547dbacked Twins | 51c | 350$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3da3…9b35backed Twins | 48c | 321.17$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Astros | 52c | 293$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.64 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Twins | 51c | 282.35$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Astros | 53c | 236.86$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.32 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…a8e1backed Twins | 51c | 226$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.26 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed Astros | 55c | 220.39$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.07 | 203 | 43.8%89 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ce…13eebacked Twins | 46c | 218.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Twins | 46c | 217.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.27 | 1,445 | 50%723 W · 722 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Twins | 51c | 200.1$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.87 | 172 | 39.5%68 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Astros | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Astros | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Astros | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb260…a44ebacked Astros | 50c | 177.11$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.75 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df4…0fe8backed Astros | 54c | 166.67$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.67 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Twins | 45c | 163.46$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.53 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Astros | 50c | 161.8$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.41 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Twins | 44c | 142.86$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.86 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Astros | 56c | 142.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.86 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Astros | 47c | 141.24$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.03 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4eee…2782backed Astros | 54c | 127$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.23 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Astros | 51c | 117.7$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.7 | 206 | 45.1%93 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d9…c946backed Astros | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Twins | 49c | 108.86$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.84 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Astros | 54c | 100.22$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.1 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Twins | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1,358 | 50.8%690 W · 668 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Astros | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Twins | 14c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ea…17ebbacked Astros | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Twins | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Twins | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.23 | 182 | 36.3%66 W · 116 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa02f…e4b1backed Astros | 58c | 99.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +298.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Astros | 58c | 95.59$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.99 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc9…7e5bbacked Astros | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…1887backed Twins | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 192 | 33.3%64 W · 128 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Twins | 46c | 88.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.17 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x106d…6282backed Twins | 47c | 87.85$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Twins | 46c | 80$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Astros | 54c | 79$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.34 | 2,050 | 53.8%1,103 W · 947 L | +33.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Twins | 50c | 75.76$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.88 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Twins | 45c | 73.7$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77d6…4fd2backed Astros | 54c | 69.77$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.02 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Astros | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.