TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Braves vs. Mets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bravesof Braves, Mets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$900,576
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$949,761

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $900,576 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9708…925bbacked Mets45c620,846$278,709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278,709.4816643.4%72 W · 94 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15e0…8d86backed Braves55c167,190$91,948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75,241.6411153.2%59 W · 52 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Braves55c110,246$60,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,610.5317351.4%89 W · 84 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Braves73c80,238$58,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,715.6835854.5%195 W · 163 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Braves55c77,451$42,609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,842.2450852.6%267 W · 241 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Braves56c57,552$32,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,212.2186751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffc1…9a12backed Mets0c50,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50160%0 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3503…b8babacked Braves55c30,000$16,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,5001752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Braves56c27,455$15,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,108.5816551.5%85 W · 80 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Braves55c22,300$12,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,03520850%104 W · 104 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Braves55c20,000$11,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,999.9941850%209 W · 209 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Mets3c17,329$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.11,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe38…1f16backed Braves56c14,379$7,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,381.574776.6%36 W · 11 L+8.2wins+0.17per pick59cpaid+27.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Braves55c9,800$5,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,41017239.5%68 W · 104 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe768…9d43backed Mets70c7,739$5,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,408.9719650.5%99 W · 97 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Braves56c7,333$4,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,226.5298149.8%489 W · 492 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Mets16c6,880$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.592,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Mets6c6,723$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.6697950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Mets43c5,857$2,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,518.6614648.6%71 W · 75 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Braves56c5,745$3,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,515.452,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08ad…208ebacked Mets44c5,477$2,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,409.8821740.1%87 W · 130 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x13ff…16a3backed Mets46c5,368$2,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,451.431637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-18.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fc8…1bfbbacked Braves56c5,357$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,357.141145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Braves57c5,303$2,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,306.41,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c1d…c4c8backed Braves37c5,000$1,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,139.681915.8%3 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick27cpaid-50.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Braves55c5,000$2,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2506660.6%40 W · 26 L+6.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Braves55c4,866$2,676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,189.581,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa75c…895ebacked Braves56c4,640$2,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,041.616352.1%85 W · 78 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Braves52c4,114$2,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,956.329,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Braves55c4,111$2,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,849.957753.2%41 W · 36 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+50%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Mets19c4,052$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761.415745.2%71 W · 86 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Braves56c3,630$2,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,597.21,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadf0…00fbbacked Braves56c3,500$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,54049250.4%248 W · 244 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1b0…6eaebacked Braves53c3,161$1,691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,47032852.4%172 W · 156 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b6f…3838backed Mets32c2,960$953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$953.2840547.4%192 W · 213 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Braves55c2,488$1,369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,119.14358.1%25 W · 18 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Braves55c2,400$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,08026453.8%142 W · 122 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Braves56c2,250$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99043654.8%239 W · 197 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Braves48c2,233$1,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,167.121,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2373…ddfabacked Braves55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90037446.8%175 W · 199 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f19…b0cabacked Mets1c2,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3046631.1%145 W · 321 L-11.8wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-37.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Braves56c2,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.9771751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x016e…c700backed Braves55c1,818$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.1824154.4%131 W · 110 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcce…136abacked Mets45c1,778$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80029240.8%119 W · 173 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Mets63c1,700$1,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0742650%13 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2873…ad0abacked Braves27c1,500$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,09510041%41 W · 59 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Braves56c1,500$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66032042.8%137 W · 183 L-23.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6b39…efc0backed Mets46c1,301$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.46540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf32f…5866backed Braves56c1,287$721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.281050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Braves13c1,231$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,070.7795930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Braves48c1,204$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.188549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked Mets37c1,175$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.1119348.7%94 W · 99 L+15.6wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+16%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Mets2c1,123$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.298762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Mets45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4501,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7245…f1c3backed Braves58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4202254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9850…4708backed Braves50c930.01$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.312339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c4a…15c7backed Braves56c875.04$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.686753.7%36 W · 31 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Braves55c827.44$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.3531145.7%142 W · 169 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a33…2534backed Braves55c800$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3608156.8%46 W · 35 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ab0…d582backed Braves56c800$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3523743.2%16 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Braves55c776.05$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.2238949.1%191 W · 198 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Braves55c727$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.1573352.4%384 W · 349 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked Braves55c724$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.845248.2%218 W · 234 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd73b…70adbacked Braves57c673.68$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.6814453.5%77 W · 67 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5696…b3aabacked Braves56c669.64$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.6425954.1%140 W · 119 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Mets43c599.99$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25833852.1%176 W · 162 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Mets43c592.05$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.5860451%308 W · 296 L-2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d39…fa04backed Mets45c555.56$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504055%22 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+21.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc609…77b3backed Mets11c500.9$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-66.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Braves57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21542452.1%221 W · 203 L+15.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7ad…d11dbacked Braves57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21514050.7%71 W · 69 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37bb…06e8backed Braves27c500$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36525550.6%129 W · 126 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Braves56c492.42$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.665,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x659c…8dfcbacked Braves44c491.19$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.245764.9%37 W · 20 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a5b…e79dbacked Mets45c388$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.64850%24 W · 24 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f93…e313backed Mets47c380$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.615543.2%67 W · 88 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9304…f693backed Mets44c366$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.458530.6%26 W · 59 L-7.7wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-27.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6f2c…a1c2backed Braves56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.145558.2%32 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Braves20c350$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.5938741.1%159 W · 228 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Braves55c345$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.2527751.3%142 W · 135 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Braves38c339$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.756,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Braves78c311.96$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.1854941%225 W · 324 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Braves53c300$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14196133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe25e…0aa5backed Braves55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13514549.7%72 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Braves50c296.51$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.852542.5%223 W · 302 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94fd…e0b9backed Mets54c276.04$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa717…8919backed Mets43c233$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.1940548.9%198 W · 207 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Mets32c228.98$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.924,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Mets46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10047348.8%231 W · 242 L-22.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a4c…0cc5backed Mets57c210.53$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1204231%13 W · 29 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b20…de61backed Braves55c206.55$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.952100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+83.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe10e…cfddbacked Braves14c200$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1729824.5%24 W · 74 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Mets43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$862,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Braves57c199.99$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37ab…54d0backed Braves55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.82250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Mets41c176.19$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.241,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6edc…18cebacked Braves57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4431356.2%176 W · 137 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa264…e26abacked Braves58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4110041%41 W · 59 L-9.8wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-19.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x33fe…0cccbacked Mets44c163.64$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722718.5%5 W · 22 L-3.5wins-0.13per pick31cpaid-54.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Braves58c157.02$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.9599951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.