NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb95ded51cad35b39d130373a22bd1d9dd631a46f9c6ee7cfc8f060da2d39b29
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Timberwolves, Nuggets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $368,734
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $394,231
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $368,734 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 560 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa47a…fd11backed Nuggets | 38c | 39,656$14,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,878.53 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x000f…fa77backed Timberwolves | 63c | 34,950$22,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,934.15 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Nuggets | 48c | 11,740$5,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,635.27 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 9,327$4,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,532.12 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Nuggets | 15c | 9,056$1,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,403.24 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Nuggets | 49c | 8,204$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Timberwolves | 42c | 7,800$3,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,540.35 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Timberwolves | 62c | 6,807$4,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,620.12 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Timberwolves | 64c | 6,429$4,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,323.46 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…7bd8backed Nuggets | 45c | 6,274$2,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,810.13 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Nuggets | 55c | 6,196$3,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,407.95 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Nuggets | 2c | 5,876$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.95 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Nuggets | 41c | 5,536$2,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,279.47 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Nuggets | 4c | 5,500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Timberwolves | 46c | 5,352$2,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,889.82 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a93…ecf9backed Nuggets | 54c | 5,352$2,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,889.82 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Nuggets | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Nuggets | 41c | 4,947$2,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,025.07 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…66d8backed Nuggets | 52c | 4,645$2,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,415.26 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Timberwolves | 39c | 4,644$1,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,842.18 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Timberwolves | 42c | 3,777$1,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,190.75 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Timberwolves | 48c | 3,754$1,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,938.11 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe663…6462backed Nuggets | 40c | 3,750$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x207a…6fecbacked Nuggets | 56c | 3,463$1,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,929.91 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Timberwolves | 45c | 3,075$1,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,703.89 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Timberwolves | 54c | 3,068$1,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,415.63 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Timberwolves | 43c | 2,641$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505.31 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6929…0e4bbacked Timberwolves | 73c | 2,021$1,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.8 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Nuggets | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.99 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd200…06b1backed Timberwolves | 65c | 1,897$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.01 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f2…edf8backed Timberwolves | 40c | 1,800$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Timberwolves | 42c | 1,781$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Timberwolves | 45c | 1,715$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.38 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Nuggets | 55c | 1,660$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.88 | 258 | 65.5%169 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Nuggets | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Nuggets | 57c | 1,435$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Nuggets | 45c | 1,316$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.96 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0712…f71bbacked Nuggets | 62c | 1,290$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d80…219abacked Nuggets | 38c | 1,256$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…2f92backed Nuggets | 67c | 1,228$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.53 | 199 | 44.7%89 W · 110 L | -15.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Nuggets | 50c | 1,202$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.46 | 235 | 54.5%128 W · 107 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…3eedbacked Nuggets | 48c | 1,142$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552 | 277 | 35.4%98 W · 179 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Nuggets | 18c | 1,140$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.2 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…c96dbacked Nuggets | 6c | 1,115$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 243 | 29.6%72 W · 171 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Nuggets | 62c | 1,111$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.73 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Nuggets | 40c | 1,098$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.29 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | -17.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Timberwolves | 51c | 1,086$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.08 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Timberwolves | 49c | 1,081$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.81 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8269…e438backed Timberwolves | 42c | 1,060$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.35 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed Timberwolves | 44c | 1,004$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.02 | 139 | 29.5%41 W · 98 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Nuggets | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.55 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Nuggets | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 701 | 53.5%375 W · 326 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa112…d215backed Nuggets | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…ae6ebacked Nuggets | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 136 | 36.8%50 W · 86 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Nuggets | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Nuggets | 58c | 999.97$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.98 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cc…ed27backed Timberwolves | 63c | 999$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ee…bf85backed Nuggets | 17c | 960$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.2 | 200 | 31%62 W · 138 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Nuggets | 39c | 940.87$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.96 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35aa…94bcbacked Nuggets | 32c | 940.63$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Nuggets | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 271 | 63.5%172 W · 99 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38bc…c0a2backed Timberwolves | 69c | 853.36$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Timberwolves | 45c | 848.5$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.86 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Nuggets | 10c | 831.07$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.11 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dd…a1d9backed Nuggets | 62c | 805$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.1 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Nuggets | 46c | 800$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Timberwolves | 38c | 800$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Nuggets | 48c | 799.99$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.19 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Timberwolves | 60c | 782.09$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.62 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Nuggets | 30c | 766.67$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Timberwolves | 39c | 742.43$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.95 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Nuggets | 60c | 722.11$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.26 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Timberwolves | 42c | 717.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1990…e954backed Nuggets | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Nuggets | 58c | 689.66$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Nuggets | 56c | 661.96$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.7 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Nuggets | 45c | 660.51$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.55 | 417 | 42%175 W · 242 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…8d05backed Nuggets | 63c | 634.92$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Nuggets | 31c | 629.34$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.1 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab6…a5edbacked Nuggets | 57c | 615.2$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Nuggets | 59c | 599.99$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…b00bbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 587.5$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.5 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | -9.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…2a60backed Nuggets | 46c | 582.63$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.89 | 456 | 47.8%218 W · 238 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b8…b745backed Nuggets | 33c | 582$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.06 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8cf…2318backed Timberwolves | 67c | 582$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.06 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Timberwolves | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.82 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Timberwolves | 38c | 511.07$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.86 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Nuggets | 50c | 500$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Timberwolves | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Timberwolves | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Nuggets | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Nuggets | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Nuggets | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x400b…3160backed Nuggets | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…15eabacked Nuggets | 57c | 499.97$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.98 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd15c…e6e4backed Nuggets | 51c | 486.04$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Timberwolves | 40c | 448.38$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.03 | 231 | 35.1%81 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74cf…8833backed Nuggets | 57c | 447.13$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.86 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ce48backed Nuggets | 55c | 438.45$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.15 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Timberwolves | 63c | 428$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.2 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.