Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Bournemouth (-0.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74b4e33870c5d00249fc50b48937af12086e01b85a803607ebdcd362b18af9a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bournemouthof Bournemouth, Nottingham Forest
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,816
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,908
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,816 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Nottingham Forest | 50c | 63,666$31,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,824.42 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bournemouth | 50c | 32,156$16,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,967.33 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Bournemouth | 50c | 24,226$12,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,114.08 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Bournemouth | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 245 | 66.1%162 W · 83 L | +24.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x425b…7683backed Bournemouth | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Bournemouth | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde91…f20abacked Bournemouth | 51c | 750$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.5 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Bournemouth | 52c | 730.77$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.77 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Bournemouth | 49c | 688.69$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.31 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Bournemouth | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 143 | 42.7%61 W · 82 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08eb…aaa8backed Nottingham Forest | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee7…12c5backed Bournemouth | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7cad…7f63backed Nottingham Forest | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…30b6backed Nottingham Forest | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2738…6412backed Nottingham Forest | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…5c1bbacked Bournemouth | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +50%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…c716backed Bournemouth | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bae…5c82backed Bournemouth | 52c | 58.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.1 | 169 | 46.2%78 W · 91 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked Bournemouth | 48c | 57.53$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.91 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Bournemouth | 50c | 48.44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.22 | 175 | 49.1%86 W · 89 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…49aabacked Nottingham Forest | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfa…7da5backed Nottingham Forest | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb613…35a7backed Nottingham Forest | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…9d4ebacked Nottingham Forest | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa484…1607backed Nottingham Forest | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4de2…1ebfbacked Nottingham Forest | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58d3…a219backed Nottingham Forest | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba4…974cbacked Bournemouth | 56c | 21.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Bournemouth (-0.5)this page
- Bournemouth vs. Nottingham Forest: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Bournemouth vs. Nottingham Forest: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.