Australian A League · resolved market
Will Perth Glory FC win on 2025-12-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9851963bffe12ea4bb784c5ddb2ccb776412992407340a3ef06aee08f06f8cbb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,929
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,480
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,929 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 64c | 7,128$4,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,568.73 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked Yes | 36c | 6,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,159.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Yes | 37c | 5,403$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 37c | 4,000$1,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,476.63 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked No | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 9c | 1,681$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.88 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 38c | 1,463$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.08 | 139 | 33.8%47 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…abfebacked No | 64c | 1,194$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.75 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Yes | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 5c | 637$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked No | 61c | 500$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 16c | 472.9$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.54 | 349 | 37.8%132 W · 217 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…cad3backed No | 63c | 400$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 36c | 399.99$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 62c | 398.76$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.07 | 300 | 55.3%166 W · 134 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 13c | 326.16$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.93 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 21c | 238.3$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.98 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 22c | 207.97$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…6563backed Yes | 38c | 193$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.34 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ccf…b312backed Yes | 38c | 188.19$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1670…2277backed Yes | 39c | 153.85$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…228ebacked Yes | 37c | 134$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.58 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed Yes | 38c | 121$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7716…f8dcbacked No | 65c | 115.38$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…b4a3backed Yes | 38c | 82$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.16 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4b…c2bcbacked Yes | 33c | 75.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +90%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 36c | 65.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1e…327abacked Yes | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed No | 62c | 59.85$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.74 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 36c | 43.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 63c | 41$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 69c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 38c | 33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2d…ffcebacked No | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +43%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5d…e5bfbacked No | 62c | 29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ee…f2d4backed No | 62c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4292…938dbacked No | 62c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed No | 64c | 20.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…81b6backed No | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Perth Glory FC win on 2025-12-20?this page
- Will Adelaide United FC win on 2025-12-20?Yes won
- Will Perth Glory FC vs. Adelaide United FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.