Bundesliga · resolved market
FSV Mainz 05 vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89361f5bfa9072ccd870784b73950b9dbc5e7669618b770f510aba80cedd9e96
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,125
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,082
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,125 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 48c | 1,808$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.9 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed No | 38c | 1,189$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.12 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x106b…4e8bbacked Yes | 53c | 801.92$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.25 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 49c | 733.95$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.59 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27df…e67cbacked Yes | 62c | 422.58$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -40%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 62c | 256.05$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 83 | 63.9%53 W · 30 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.03 | 333 | 40.8%136 W · 197 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda70…828bbacked Yes | 62c | 117.61$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.92 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ab…a5dabacked Yes | 62c | 114.05$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29ce…0cc9backed Yes | 45c | 113.33$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1b…adcdbacked Yes | 62c | 113.03$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.08 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e2…31e4backed Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…6296backed Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…f25dbacked Yes | 62c | 81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.22 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f45…5e8fbacked Yes | 60c | 79.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 46cpaid | -55%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f82…5557backed Yes | 62c | 53.23$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca0…7ebebacked Yes | 61c | 52$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 53c | 45.45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.36 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1e…327abacked Yes | 61c | 43.92$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.99 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…e115backed Yes | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 40c | 36.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.01 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…bbb5backed No | 44c | 34.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.59 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…f3f2backed Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce5…8e89backed Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30aa…25f4backed Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3802…d623backed Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…8198backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77e7…e62bbacked Yes | 62c | 24.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf52…c96dbacked Yes | 62c | 24.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf20…953abacked Yes | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c4…b7e7backed Yes | 62c | 21.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9b…51ffbacked Yes | 62c | 20.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e5…3187backed Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed Yes | 63c | 19.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FSV Mainz 05 vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- FSV Mainz 05 vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 1.5Under won
- FSV Mainz 05 vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5Under won
- FSV Mainz 05 vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: FSV Mainz 05 (-1.5)Borussia Mönchengladbach won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.