Serie A · resolved market
Genoa CFC vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d1935310abbb4439bfe836808b3602de67fc981efe86d831d9614853f53db5e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,009
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,356
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,009 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Under | 52c | 16,887$8,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,139 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 48c | 9,073$4,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,311.9 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Over | 48c | 5,358$2,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,568.97 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 44c | 1,250$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x106b…4e8bbacked Over | 51c | 980.38$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 43c | 841.66$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.7 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc97…7d32backed Over | 36c | 833.31$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43de…d169backed Under | 53c | 660.38$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.38 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…56cbbacked Over | 51c | 450.98$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ef…c56bbacked Over | 53c | 294.53$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 47c | 283.43$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.21 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…22c4backed Under | 78c | 197.95$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.36 | 50 | 78%39 W · 11 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Under | 77c | 187$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.01 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 37c | 144.19$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.29 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f32…97c2backed Over | 44c | 135.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe733…0accbacked Over | 52c | 120$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +57%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Over | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecc7…01e0backed Under | 52c | 96.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.27 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Over | 51c | 96.02$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.97 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Over | 43c | 92.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.97 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Under | 60c | 81.67$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.67 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 52c | 46.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcec6…4aa5backed Over | 52c | 38.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4427…ba14backed Over | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 59c | 34.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.03 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0a…70a0backed Under | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1e…327abacked Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…5827backed Under | 63c | 19.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed Under | 66c | 17.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.99 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8eda…1847backed Under | 78c | 17.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.76 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Genoa CFC vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 3.5this page
- Genoa CFC vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Genoa CFC vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 1.5Over won
- Genoa CFC vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)Genoa CFC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.