Tennis · resolved market
Jiangxi Open: Kaja Juvan vs Claire Liu
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x753c6ecc70bc2299cb1657d04b76e86e943ab1752dd3dc4baa5a4518e5e10728
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Juvanof Juvan, Liu
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,011
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,018
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,011 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Juvan | 43c | 7,411$3,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,227.38 | 154 | 36.4%56 W · 98 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Liu | 45c | 5,558$2,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,475.56 | 158 | 32.3%51 W · 107 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Liu | 53c | 5,474$2,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,888.26 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Liu | 43c | 3,920$1,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,683.75 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5744…9093backed Juvan | 65c | 2,472$1,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.36 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Juvan | 58c | 2,018$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.1 | 100 | 60%60 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…4541backed Juvan | 60c | 1,603$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.13 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Juvan | 45c | 1,100$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.13 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Juvan | 50c | 913$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.82 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Liu | 35c | 902.14$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.19 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…d3abbacked Juvan | 60c | 900$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +4.8wins | +0.40per pick | 43cpaid | +97%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Juvan | 64c | 462.49$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.86 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Juvan | 65c | 298.46$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.46 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e22…88a5backed Juvan | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad1e…6b90backed Juvan | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…eef3backed Juvan | 75c | 212.95$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9941…158fbacked Juvan | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a84…e271backed Juvan | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1544…6f27backed Liu | 30c | 199.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Juvan | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9e…40a5backed Juvan | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 52 | 75%39 W · 13 L | +7.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd3…8757backed Liu | 67c | 179.1$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 68cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba0…ff3abacked Juvan | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 431 | 58.2%251 W · 180 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9f…48ebbacked Juvan | 60c | 115.43$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad7e…e189backed Juvan | 76c | 115.37$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.37 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeefb…115abacked Juvan | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Liu | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e92…cd3dbacked Juvan | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Juvan | 48c | 90.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.53 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x213e…98b7backed Liu | 40c | 77.15$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Juvan | 66c | 75.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.89 | 497 | 49.9%248 W · 249 L | -15.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4af…7dc0backed Liu | 42c | 70$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa40…8b4fbacked Liu | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1d…fe6dbacked Juvan | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6098…599fbacked Liu | 66c | 57.53$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Liu | 38c | 54.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 496 | 32.3%160 W · 336 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4607…7811backed Juvan | 46c | 54.49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.47 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42ce…d2cbbacked Liu | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Juvan | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 331 | 34.7%115 W · 216 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1e…230abacked Liu | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 318 | 19.2%61 W · 257 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Liu | 72c | 41.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 184 | 47.3%87 W · 97 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x882e…e757backed Liu | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8d…cfbebacked Liu | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd891…7341backed Liu | 70c | 32.86$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 121 | 61.2%74 W · 47 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b55…2eaebacked Juvan | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 66 | 75.8%50 W · 16 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Juvan | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 718 | 57.7%414 W · 304 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19c0…c8cdbacked Liu | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…2518backed Liu | 70c | 29.54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Juvan | 65c | 20.91$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 864 | 70%605 W · 259 L | +43.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ab…3165backed Juvan | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfde0…c132backed Liu | 56c | 18.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Juvan | 61c | 17.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1e…327abacked Juvan | 65c | 17.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6e…7165backed Juvan | 62c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.