Tennis · resolved market
Chennai Open: Kimberly Birrell vs Nikola Bartunkova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83ad0750348e775b859bbd26822b797581594469eaac5f2d660cc12c207498f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Birrellof Birrell, Bartunkova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,037
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,876
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,037 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0ee4…276fbacked Bartunkova | 63c | 4,791$3,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,019.83 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb672…e4e3backed Bartunkova | 44c | 3,453$1,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,526.91 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Birrell | 11c | 2,779$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,484.11 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bartunkova | 7c | 2,739$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.81 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Birrell | 49c | 2,346$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189.94 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Bartunkova | 50c | 1,735$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.7 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +119%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Bartunkova | 47c | 1,361$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.67 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Birrell | 51c | 1,061$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.51 | 100 | 60%60 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Birrell | 50c | 985.5$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.75 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bartunkova | 52c | 930.35$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.58 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Birrell | 40c | 863.99$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.06 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Birrell | 34c | 809.78$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.58 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Birrell | 49c | 705.87$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Birrell | 64c | 702.5$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.37 | 238 | 52.1%124 W · 114 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9c…ab80backed Birrell | 79c | 665.99$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.53 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Bartunkova | 40c | 600.76$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.21 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Birrell | 64c | 428$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.6 | 439 | 48.5%213 W · 226 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb7…082dbacked Bartunkova | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd595…b30bbacked Birrell | 68c | 299.99$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd3…8757backed Bartunkova | 79c | 296.15$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.96 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 68cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked Birrell | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 115 | 33.9%39 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe66e…abddbacked Birrell | 65c | 250$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2bc…c050backed Birrell | 39c | 250$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Birrell | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bcd…42e1backed Birrell | 78c | 219.99$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaea…b079backed Birrell | 23c | 200$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Birrell | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 465 | 56.1%261 W · 204 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe944…0837backed Birrell | 64c | 188$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Birrell | 40c | 172.14$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.46 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ea…d109backed Bartunkova | 61c | 150$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Bartunkova | 50c | 149$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.5 | 228 | 40.4%92 W · 136 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Birrell | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 434 | 48.4%210 W · 224 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e5…2a27backed Bartunkova | 75c | 111$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9e…40a5backed Birrell | 53c | 103.77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.77 | 52 | 75%39 W · 13 L | +7.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5907…b434backed Bartunkova | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…9a7dbacked Birrell | 52c | 97.94$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.01 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3adf…d8b0backed Birrell | 60c | 91.67$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9869…b7d6backed Bartunkova | 52c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Birrell | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57e0…3878backed Birrell | 24c | 66.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.67 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d66…3c95backed Birrell | 52c | 51.92$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +79.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc1…6362backed Birrell | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfde0…c132backed Birrell | 53c | 49.52$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.27 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59ca…fd12backed Birrell | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1c…2bccbacked Bartunkova | 32c | 35.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…ca64backed Bartunkova | 41c | 32.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd510…0be5backed Bartunkova | 80c | 30.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1e…327abacked Bartunkova | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f7…6b63backed Bartunkova | 72c | 24.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1609…7b1fbacked Birrell | 65c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.