Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will OGC Nice win on 2025-11-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7ca6bea149be5b8b2e910b94b6a1fac052bebabfa17e114328986843b9268e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,626
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,346
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,626 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 58c | 25,000$14,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,499.98 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Yes | 42c | 20,520$8,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,618.22 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Yes | 11c | 3,402$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.27 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 39c | 3,353$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,043.16 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 42c | 3,016$1,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760.41 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 42c | 2,459$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.03 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1232…14efbacked Yes | 63c | 2,426$1,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,522.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 71c | 1,940$1,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.59 | 215 | 60%129 W · 86 L | +15.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 69c | 1,533$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.55 | 246 | 42.3%104 W · 142 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 68c | 1,221$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.9 | 202 | 32.7%66 W · 136 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…d3abbacked Yes | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c13…ee33backed Yes | 39c | 820$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27df…e67cbacked Yes | 43c | 348.84$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked No | 59c | 340.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.78 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -5.5wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x658d…859fbacked Yes | 44c | 323.14$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 44c | 318.18$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 62c | 300$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 260 | 40.4%105 W · 155 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 42c | 291.58$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.42 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac5…db70backed Yes | 44c | 272.73$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…40febacked Yes | 41c | 234.6$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.19 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 56c | 204.32$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.9 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes | 67c | 200$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Yes | 45c | 199.76$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -4.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked Yes | 61c | 183.35$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.84 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf537…8d55backed Yes | 67c | 150$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 61c | 149.35$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.06 | 231 | 51.5%119 W · 112 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad85…ed5bbacked Yes | 44c | 148.32$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cff…6471backed Yes | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 53c | 140.52$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.5 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed No | 56c | 139.36$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.32 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac7…597ebacked Yes | 67c | 84.3$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25b0…94ebbacked No | 57c | 82.93$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.93 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Yes | 42c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95a5…4f7cbacked Yes | 68c | 80$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 42c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes | 49c | 72.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.77 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 66c | 72.18$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.26 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 43c | 58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34da…367fbacked Yes | 44c | 57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 69c | 55$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.85 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe286…6896backed Yes | 68c | 50.46$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Yes | 69c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.41 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -4.1wins | -0.25per pick | 63cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcf43…b321backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9126…1896backed Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…5928backed No | 33c | 49.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bae…5c82backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7e…425ebacked Yes | 45c | 44.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7d…6aeabacked Yes | 46c | 43.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…cd69backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…d3ddbacked Yes | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb65…c4a3backed No | 35c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…19cabacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18de…0b64backed Yes | 28c | 39.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ea…ae3fbacked Yes | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Yes | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf697…a0dbbacked Yes | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7903…df88backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b1…7d09backed Yes | 43c | 30.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa83…537bbacked Yes | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a3e…303bbacked Yes | 47c | 29.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 53c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 208 | 60.6%126 W · 82 L | +12.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 55c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1e…327abacked Yes | 43c | 23.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59f5…fc16backed Yes | 43c | 23.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed No | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 58cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a4…5504backed Yes | 67c | 17.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed No | 72c | 17.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will OGC Nice win on 2025-11-09?this page
- Will FC Metz vs. OGC Nice end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Metz win on 2025-11-09?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.