Tennis · resolved market
Chennai Open: Lanlana Tararudee vs Maria Timofeeva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d6df933d84e423f2c07436ca2ded6a5f2be45640eb49696e9caf94f81967917
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tararudeeof Tararudee, Timofeeva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,775
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,362
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,775 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7750…a3f3backed Timofeeva | 8c | 1,741$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.41 | 112 | 15.2%17 W · 95 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tararudee | 52c | 1,361$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.45 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdad2…98c6backed Tararudee | 77c | 1,165$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.82 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Tararudee | 67c | 813.38$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.62 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Tararudee | 42c | 708.36$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.85 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd865…a1abbacked Tararudee | 46c | 656.63$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +118.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x287a…9a5bbacked Timofeeva | 58c | 655.17$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda4d…c8eebacked Timofeeva | 3c | 600$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 36 | 5.6%2 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Timofeeva | 39c | 564.68$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.99 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6775…17efbacked Tararudee | 43c | 459.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.83 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Tararudee | 43c | 348.07$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.32 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Timofeeva | 59c | 332.2$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Tararudee | 43c | 319.08$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.06 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Timofeeva | 9c | 303.71$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.02 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaea…b079backed Timofeeva | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Tararudee | 42c | 293.18$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.36 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68b5…b56fbacked Timofeeva | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Timofeeva | 17c | 255.92$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.28 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Timofeeva | 44c | 250$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.25 | 238 | 52.1%124 W · 114 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93cb…3485backed Tararudee | 72c | 233.17$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.96 | 306 | 39.9%122 W · 184 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba0…ff3abacked Timofeeva | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 431 | 58.2%251 W · 180 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x151f…807dbacked Timofeeva | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…cd84backed Timofeeva | 54c | 199.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1544…6f27backed Timofeeva | 7c | 199.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Timofeeva | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb41c…ab82backed Timofeeva | 58c | 172.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Tararudee | 44c | 163$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.48 | 228 | 40.4%92 W · 136 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Timofeeva | 54c | 144.65$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.11 | 158 | 32.3%51 W · 107 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c49…7c10backed Timofeeva | 58c | 138.06$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.03 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…0419backed Timofeeva | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe944…0837backed Timofeeva | 44c | 120$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd891…7341backed Timofeeva | 61c | 116.77$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.78 | 121 | 61.2%74 W · 47 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Timofeeva | 67c | 111.23$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.31 | 864 | 70%605 W · 259 L | +43.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Timofeeva | 56c | 96.61$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.1 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Timofeeva | 36c | 90.32$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 348 | 42.2%147 W · 201 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Timofeeva | 61c | 85$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.45 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed Tararudee | 68c | 65$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 375 | 40.8%153 W · 222 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d9a…db3fbacked Tararudee | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Tararudee | 45c | 43.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.19 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Tararudee | 42c | 39.14$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 182 | 41.8%76 W · 106 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c09…a69fbacked Timofeeva | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Tararudee | 43c | 32.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.47 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…83e3backed Timofeeva | 57c | 31.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 313 | 39.9%125 W · 188 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d11…0c08backed Timofeeva | 58c | 24.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac7…597ebacked Timofeeva | 64c | 23.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2a…94bebacked Tararudee | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1e…327abacked Timofeeva | 64c | 19.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.