Fifa International · resolved market
Croatia vs. Slovenia: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4816d32053a9041b54839728c314b815e9d2c263bfc0476c8671d6569b11ddd2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,858
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,992
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,858 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 19c | 7,259$1,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,867.89 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…24cebacked Over | 33c | 3,500$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,334.99 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32aa…c56ebacked Under | 50c | 3,100$1,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,539 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x905a…dff1backed Under | 79c | 2,532$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 71cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ff…473dbacked Under | 49c | 2,035$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.69 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 37c | 1,606$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.5 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ff…79dcbacked Over | 52c | 1,538$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.46 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 52c | 1,538$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.46 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 30c | 1,419$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.34 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Under | 49c | 1,117$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.49 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 14c | 1,117$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.23 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Under | 50c | 1,100$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.99 | 144 | 33.3%48 W · 96 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 51c | 1,058$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.48 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…0f8fbacked Under | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 49c | 745.17$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.13 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 14c | 710$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.22 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Under | 48c | 699.97$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.99 | 383 | 51.4%197 W · 186 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 50c | 624.9$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.45 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Under | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 352 | 51.7%182 W · 170 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 51c | 537.25$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.25 | 217 | 47.9%104 W · 113 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d85…197fbacked Under | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.99 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 50c | 451.86$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.43 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 49c | 436.5$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.54 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 50c | 405.19$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.59 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Under | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 390 | 50.8%198 W · 192 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Under | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 384 | 51.6%198 W · 186 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 50c | 372.92$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.35 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…2909backed Under | 52c | 358$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.16 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 72c | 338.01$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.43 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Over | 44c | 316.56$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.45 | 141 | 46.1%65 W · 76 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 343 | 30%103 W · 240 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 353 | 52.7%186 W · 167 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 33c | 300$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 438 | 26.3%115 W · 323 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Under | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 352 | 51.7%182 W · 170 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ed…8300backed Over | 49c | 295.92$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.92 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under | 48c | 259.97$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.79 | 399 | 51.4%205 W · 194 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 51c | 247$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.85 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Under | 48c | 239.99$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 408 | 48.8%199 W · 209 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…52adbacked Under | 75c | 224.68$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.41 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0a…1bd3backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 125 | 44%55 W · 70 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea39…9d34backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 145 | 54.5%79 W · 66 L | +12.6wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c2…a767backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 37cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4939…9adebacked Under | 50c | 199.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 51c | 198.04$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 355 | 49.9%177 W · 178 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 48c | 193.87$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.81 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Under | 52c | 169.23$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 624 | 52.7%329 W · 295 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Over | 50c | 168$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Over | 50c | 160.01$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.71 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | +7.2wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Under | 48c | 159.99$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 354 | 51.4%182 W · 172 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x155d…3ec8backed Over | 51c | 158.82$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.82 | 255 | 32.9%84 W · 171 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ce…fd49backed Under | 53c | 150.94$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Over | 50c | 142.38$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.83 | 315 | 54.6%172 W · 143 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Over | 52c | 142.31$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.31 | 151 | 43%65 W · 86 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 44c | 140$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 504 | 50.2%253 W · 251 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Over | 50c | 132.9$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.45 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 52c | 131.4$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.07 | 384 | 39.8%153 W · 231 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 50c | 122.07$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.14 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 51c | 122$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.88 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89e6…5501backed Under | 51c | 114.49$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.39 | 230 | 36.1%83 W · 147 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x232e…e9fdbacked Over | 51c | 103$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.47 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa422…d210backed Over | 50c | 100.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.92 | 103 | 55.3%57 W · 46 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb654…7be3backed Over | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 377 | 53.8%203 W · 174 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 343 | 51.9%178 W · 165 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f8e…0404backed Over | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d9…1059backed Over | 52c | 96.83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.48 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 50c | 87.16$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.14 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…4575backed Over | 52c | 84.62$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.62 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Over | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 282 | 40.8%115 W · 167 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b57…263ebacked Under | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 49c | 79.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 50c | 74.42$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.94 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 50c | 74.21$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.96 | 848 | 44.3%376 W · 472 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce6…f60abacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 150 | 60%90 W · 60 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -8.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…c991backed Over | 51c | 54.92$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.91 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…974ebacked Over | 51c | 52$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 197 | 46.2%91 W · 106 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…28f7backed Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0497…c5e3backed Over | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.3 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 823 | 40.9%337 W · 486 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c40…0c8fbacked Over | 25c | 49.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.49 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 50c | 49.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a28…eff6backed Over | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Over | 49c | 45.49$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 378 | 50.5%191 W · 187 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc271…1bfdbacked Over | 52c | 44.71$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.46 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x417c…63c5backed Under | 49c | 44.68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1491…387abacked Under | 79c | 41.33$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.65 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec83…7014backed Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 50c | 40.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 363 | 29.8%108 W · 255 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf0…4eadbacked Over | 35c | 40.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.23 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Under | 68c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d70…d0a6backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Under | 49c | 39.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8493…6f72backed Under | 51c | 39.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88cb…ab72backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 11.6%5 W · 38 L | -9.7wins | -0.23per pick | 34cpaid | -56%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8de7…61c0backed Over | 51c | 37.23$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.23 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Croatia vs. Slovenia: O/U 2.5this page
- Croatia vs. Slovenia: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Croatia vs. Slovenia: O/U 0.5Over won
- Croatia vs. Slovenia: O/U 1.5Over won
- Croatia vs. Slovenia: O/U 3.5Under won
- Croatia vs. Slovenia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Croatia vs. Slovenia: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Croatia (-1.5)Slovenia won
- Spread: Croatia (-2.5)Slovenia won
- Spread: Slovenia (-1.5)Croatia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.