TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Croatia vs. Slovenia: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$43,858
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$43,992

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,858 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Over19c7,259$1,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,867.893,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf984…24cebacked Over33c3,500$1,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,334.9910331.1%32 W · 71 L+0.5wins0.00per pick31cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32aa…c56ebacked Under50c3,100$1,539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5393450%17 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x905a…dff1backed Under79c2,532$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick71cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8ff…473dbacked Under49c2,035$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.699440.4%38 W · 56 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over37c1,606$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,018.52,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9ff…79dcbacked Over52c1,538$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.4613843.5%60 W · 78 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over52c1,538$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.4689443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over30c1,419$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$994.344,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Under49c1,117$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.495242.3%22 W · 30 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over14c1,117$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.232,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Under50c1,100$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.9914433.3%48 W · 96 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over51c1,058$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.4815141.7%63 W · 88 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+31.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf070…0f8fbacked Under72c1,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under49c745.17$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.1312146.3%56 W · 65 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over14c710$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.222,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under48c699.97$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.9938351.4%197 W · 186 L-1.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over50c624.9$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.453,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under48c600$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28835251.7%182 W · 170 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over51c537.25$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.2521747.9%104 W · 113 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3d85…197fbacked Under55c499.99$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.997851.3%40 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Over50c451.86$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.4376551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over49c436.5$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.543,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over50c405.19$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.593,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under48c400$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19239050.8%198 W · 192 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under48c400$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19238451.6%198 W · 186 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over49c400$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2048032.5%26 W · 54 L-7.6wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-31.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under50c372.92$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.351,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88c5…2909backed Under52c358$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.168549.4%42 W · 43 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over72c338.01$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.431,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Over44c316.56$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.4514146.1%65 W · 76 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Over51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14734330%103 W · 240 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14435352.7%186 W · 167 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over33c300$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20143826.3%115 W · 323 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14435251.7%182 W · 170 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88ed…8300backed Over49c295.92$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.925345.3%24 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under48c259.97$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.7939951.4%205 W · 194 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under51c247$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.851,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Under48c239.99$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.240848.8%199 W · 209 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe216…52adbacked Under75c224.68$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.414837.5%18 W · 30 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d0a…1bd3backed Over49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.085856.9%33 W · 25 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Under49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9812544%55 W · 70 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea39…9d34backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10014554.5%79 W · 66 L+12.6wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+30.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd0c2…a767backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.21per pick37cpaid-66.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Over51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981,00544.3%445 W · 560 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4939…9adebacked Under50c199.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under51c198.04$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10135549.9%177 W · 178 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over48c193.87$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.811,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Under52c169.23$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8862452.7%329 W · 295 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed Over50c168$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8413351.1%68 W · 65 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed Over50c160.01$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.718058.8%47 W · 33 L+7.2wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under48c159.99$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.835451.4%182 W · 172 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x155d…3ec8backed Over51c158.82$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.8225532.9%84 W · 171 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7ce…fd49backed Under53c150.94$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807041.4%29 W · 41 L+0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Over50c142.38$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.8331554.6%172 W · 143 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba58…28c2backed Over52c142.31$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.3115143%65 W · 86 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over44c140$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7950450.2%253 W · 251 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Over50c132.9$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.4513351.1%68 W · 65 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over52c131.4$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.0738439.8%153 W · 231 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under50c122.07$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.143,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over51c122$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.885563.6%35 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89e6…5501backed Under51c114.49$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.3923036.1%83 W · 147 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x232e…e9fdbacked Over51c103$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.471637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa422…d210backed Over50c100.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.9210355.3%57 W · 46 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb654…7be3backed Over20c100$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+45.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Under48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4837753.8%203 W · 174 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4834351.9%178 W · 165 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f8e…0404backed Over33c100$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675745.6%26 W · 31 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd8d9…1059backed Over52c96.83$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.4811952.9%63 W · 56 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under50c87.16$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.1490840.9%371 W · 537 L-64.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-24.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x49fa…4575backed Over52c84.62$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.627245.8%33 W · 39 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f2c…9d16backed Over36c83.33$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.3328240.8%115 W · 167 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b57…263ebacked Under61c81.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5039752.1%207 W · 190 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under49c79.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.21,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under50c74.42$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.941,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over50c74.21$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9684844.3%376 W · 472 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ce6…f60abacked Over50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3015060%90 W · 60 L+12.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Under70c57.14$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408334.9%29 W · 54 L-8.9wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-28.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7736…c991backed Over51c54.92$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9113253%70 W · 62 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc338…974ebacked Over51c52$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.4819746.2%91 W · 106 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcfaa…28f7backed Over47c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.54731.9%15 W · 32 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-28.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0497…c5e3backed Over39c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.34835.4%17 W · 31 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2482340.9%337 W · 486 L-2.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c40…0c8fbacked Over25c49.99$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.498934.8%31 W · 58 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under50c49.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7583153.3%443 W · 388 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a28…eff6backed Over42c47.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6212050.8%61 W · 59 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Over49c45.49$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.237850.5%191 W · 187 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc271…1bfdbacked Over52c44.71$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.462152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x417c…63c5backed Under49c44.68$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.891145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+19.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1491…387abacked Under79c41.33$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.656241.9%26 W · 36 L-5.3wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xec83…7014backed Under49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015447.4%73 W · 81 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over50c40.6$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.336329.8%108 W · 255 L-17.4wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2bf0…4eadbacked Over35c40.23$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.23560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44b8…a2d7backed Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205547.3%26 W · 29 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19d8…965abacked Under68c40$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.312252.5%64 W · 58 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d70…d0a6backed Under50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203844.7%17 W · 21 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6c3…a6e8backed Under49c39.98$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5918444.6%82 W · 102 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8493…6f72backed Under51c39.31$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x88cb…ab72backed Under52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204311.6%5 W · 38 L-9.7wins-0.23per pick34cpaid-56%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x8de7…61c0backed Over51c37.23$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.238158%47 W · 34 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.