Fifa International · resolved market
Croatia vs. Slovenia: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab63c3314b6417b2b0736293b3edb8c83bee5bdc804da772c8cea4b51fb93ff9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,810
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,503
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,810 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 62c | 1,013$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.83 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 46c | 600$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 350 | 36.3%127 W · 223 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 54c | 597.05$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.82 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 55c | 428.36$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.09 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7984…638abacked No | 56c | 398.22$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.33 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | -15.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 41c | 396.3$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.74 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 44c | 299.2$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.33 | 343 | 30%103 W · 240 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 59c | 280.05$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.69 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Yes | 30c | 266.67$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.67 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1e…9e97backed Yes | 43c | 248.77$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.01 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc080…f9a0backed Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 43c | 161.32$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.22 | 315 | 54.6%172 W · 143 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 60c | 159$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.76 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked Yes | 45c | 150$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 127 | 29.9%38 W · 89 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc056…e188backed Yes | 32c | 120.65$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 67c | 119.68$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.56 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f6…4892backed Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x155d…3ec8backed Yes | 45c | 106.67$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.67 | 255 | 32.9%84 W · 171 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 20c | 101.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed No | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.56 | 426 | 40.1%171 W · 255 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 56c | 91.58$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.83 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 64c | 68.13$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.69 | 508 | 33.3%169 W · 339 L | -35.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 282 | 40.8%115 W · 167 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 56c | 63.77$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.71 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Yes | 35c | 54.62$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.58 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed Yes | 32c | 47.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.22 | 356 | 19.4%69 W · 287 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 55c | 44.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed No | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 667 | 45%300 W · 367 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 38c | 40.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…7e67backed Yes | 26c | 39.84$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.48 | 177 | 37.9%67 W · 110 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Yes | 31c | 39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.91 | 379 | 50.1%190 W · 189 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed No | 28c | 37.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 190 | 64.2%122 W · 68 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 56c | 35.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 58c | 35.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…6e60backed Yes | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 241 | 32.8%79 W · 162 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked No | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 242 | 57.9%140 W · 102 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4208…a0c2backed Yes | 75c | 27.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 59c | 27.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed No | 57c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 235 | 52.8%124 W · 111 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e65…d1d3backed No | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa7…736ebacked No | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed No | 60c | 19.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -6.5wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Croatia vs. Slovenia: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Croatia vs. Slovenia: O/U 0.5Over won
- Croatia vs. Slovenia: O/U 1.5Over won
- Croatia vs. Slovenia: O/U 2.5Over won
- Croatia vs. Slovenia: O/U 3.5Under won
- Croatia vs. Slovenia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Croatia vs. Slovenia: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Croatia (-1.5)Slovenia won
- Spread: Croatia (-2.5)Slovenia won
- Spread: Slovenia (-1.5)Croatia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.