Fifa International · resolved market
Croatia vs. Slovenia: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd07ae8fba3a04331209fcfb749809711c3d928beabfa4ab641a0bcae288ce856
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,385
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,736
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,385 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 9c | 4,888$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.16 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 28c | 2,500$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 454 | 21.4%97 W · 357 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 73c | 1,825$1,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.92 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 27c | 1,740$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.23 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 30c | 1,342$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Under | 70c | 910$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273 | 264 | 54.5%144 W · 120 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Under | 75c | 800$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x879b…1594backed Over | 2c | 617.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 72c | 501.1$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.26 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 343 | 30%103 W · 240 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 438 | 26.3%115 W · 323 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 72c | 299.67$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.82 | 418 | 57.9%242 W · 176 L | +14.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x155d…3ec8backed Over | 28c | 167.86$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 255 | 32.9%84 W · 171 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Over | 21c | 165$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 172 | 17.4%30 W · 142 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 28c | 142.77$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 257 | 27.2%70 W · 187 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 73c | 132.99$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.91 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 71c | 89.98$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.32 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 72c | 86$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.22 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked Under | 70c | 80$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 175 | 57.1%100 W · 75 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 28c | 71.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 363 | 29.8%108 W · 255 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a56…7616backed Over | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 73c | 70.5$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.03 | 397 | 46.3%184 W · 213 L | -28.9wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…c453backed Under | 74c | 70$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 156 | 55.1%86 W · 70 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 26c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4b…83e2backed Under | 72c | 55.55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +5.3wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 27c | 46.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5569…c927backed Under | 73c | 40.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.91 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f20…3a2abacked Under | 72c | 39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 459 | 49.5%227 W · 232 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…4b5bbacked Under | 72c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 200 | 53%106 W · 94 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Under | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 403 | 55.3%223 W · 180 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x348c…c8efbacked Under | 72c | 22.68$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 332 | 45.5%151 W · 181 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked Under | 73c | 18.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 146 | 53.4%78 W · 68 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Under | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 413 | 44.1%182 W · 231 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…24b8backed Under | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.65 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75b0…63c6backed Under | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Croatia vs. Slovenia: O/U 3.5this page
- Croatia vs. Slovenia: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Croatia vs. Slovenia: O/U 0.5Over won
- Croatia vs. Slovenia: O/U 1.5Over won
- Croatia vs. Slovenia: O/U 2.5Over won
- Croatia vs. Slovenia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Croatia vs. Slovenia: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Croatia (-1.5)Slovenia won
- Spread: Croatia (-2.5)Slovenia won
- Spread: Slovenia (-1.5)Croatia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.