Spread: Croatia (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0cf2e58da94526486bbd4ff78a25a2089fb897f3babc5c89efbac8e9956dc66d

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Sloveniaof Croatia, Slovenia
Resolved: Jun 7, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $18,480
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $18,741

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,480 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x68e3…109bbacked Croatia	43c	5,814$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	26	23.1%6 W · 20 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	20cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Croatia	30c	3,832$1,157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,157.3	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Slovenia	72c	3,273$2,343 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$929.09	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Croatia	43c	2,327$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	894	43.4%388 W · 506 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2412…b5a1backed Slovenia	58c	1,724$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$724.23	83	55.4%46 W · 37 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Slovenia	57c	1,600$912 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$688	362	50.8%184 W · 178 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Croatia	42c	1,089$458 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$457.65	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Slovenia	57c	700$399 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$301	383	51.4%197 W · 186 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Slovenia	57c	600$342 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$258	352	51.7%182 W · 170 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Slovenia	57c	599.98$342 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$257.99	374	51.6%193 W · 181 L	+8.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc905…850bbacked Croatia	42c	595.24$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	140	61.4%86 W · 54 L	+8.2wins	+0.06per pick	56cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Slovenia	57c	500$285 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$215	378	50.5%191 W · 187 L	-7.5wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Slovenia	58c	488.55$283 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$205.28	1,873	48.4%906 W · 967 L	+14.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Slovenia	57c	478.37$273 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$205.7	145	64.1%93 W · 52 L	+10.1wins	+0.07per pick	57cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Slovenia	57c	400$228 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$172	390	50.8%198 W · 192 L	-8.2wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Slovenia	57c	400$228 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$172	384	51.6%198 W · 186 L	-5.7wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x987e…8d7abacked Slovenia	58c	344.83$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.83	31	64.5%20 W · 11 L	+2.9wins	+0.09per pick	55cpaid	+18%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Slovenia	68c	340$230 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.79	935	42.2%395 W · 540 L	-27.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Slovenia	57c	300$171 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129	353	52.7%186 W · 167 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Slovenia	57c	300$171 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129	352	51.7%182 W · 170 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Slovenia	57c	260$148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.8	399	51.4%205 W · 194 L	-7.2wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Slovenia	57c	240$137 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.2	408	48.8%199 W · 209 L	-8.9wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Croatia	42c	238.1$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	479	35.1%168 W · 311 L	+4.5wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Slovenia	57c	224.52$129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.87	3,731	51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L	+55.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Slovenia	70c	217.26$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.68	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29d3…ccf6backed Croatia	24c	208.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	171	45%77 W · 94 L	+11.5wins	+0.07per pick	38cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6aad…20aebacked Slovenia	58c	172.41$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.41	58	43.1%25 W · 33 L	-3.4wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Slovenia	57c	160$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.8	354	51.4%182 W · 172 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Slovenia	57c	156$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.08	374	52.1%195 W · 179 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Slovenia	57c	156$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.08	348	51.7%180 W · 168 L	-3.8wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bab…50aabacked Slovenia	62c	151.27$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.48	167	53.9%90 W · 77 L	-7.2wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Slovenia	57c	140$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.2	370	51.4%190 W · 180 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b79…e5d8backed Croatia	43c	113.21$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.68	231	42.4%98 W · 133 L	-9.7wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Slovenia	57c	100$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43	336	53.3%179 W · 157 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Slovenia	57c	100$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43	377	53.8%203 W · 174 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Slovenia	57c	100$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43	343	51.9%178 W · 165 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65f4…5222backed Croatia	42c	97.62$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	268	35.4%95 W · 173 L	-8.4wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Slovenia	64c	90$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.4	908	40.9%371 W · 537 L	-64.0wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Slovenia	67c	89.57$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.57	403	55.3%223 W · 180 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Croatia	27c	80$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.2	2,327	18.1%422 W · 1,905 L	-363.0wins	-0.16per pick	34cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Slovenia	79c	80$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.8	876	51.1%448 W · 428 L	+25.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Croatia	43c	69.77$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	311	47.9%149 W · 162 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Slovenia	57c	67.44$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29	1,616	51.2%827 W · 789 L	+11.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Slovenia	58c	67$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.14	413	44.1%182 W · 231 L	-16.2wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Slovenia	57c	59$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.37	1,688	54.4%918 W · 770 L	+31.4wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb27b…5d6ebacked Croatia	43c	58.14$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	45	44.4%20 W · 25 L	-5.4wins	-0.12per pick	56cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Croatia	24c	52.71$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.55	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	-1.7wins	-0.08per pick	40cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e26…ecc5backed Slovenia	77c	51.95$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.95	41	56.1%23 W · 18 L	+2.0wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Slovenia	57c	46$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.78	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed Slovenia	57c	40$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.2	234	53%124 W · 110 L	+6.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Slovenia	56c	39.81$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.61	1,560	43.8%684 W · 876 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b6f…4c96backed Slovenia	56c	35.71$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.71	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb305…a400backed Croatia	38c	34.21$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	333	45.3%151 W · 182 L	-7.2wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Slovenia	63c	33.81$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.35	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Slovenia	58c	33.56$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.09	831	53.3%443 W · 388 L	+15.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Slovenia	57c	30$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.9	459	49.5%227 W · 232 L	-13.7wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54d0…8e20backed Slovenia	71c	28.17$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.17	99	63.6%63 W · 36 L	+3.5wins	+0.03per pick	60cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Slovenia	76c	28$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.72	343	30%103 W · 240 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed Croatia	42c	25.98$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.91	266	31.2%83 W · 183 L	+6.7wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ff2…1c10backed Slovenia	56c	20$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.8	128	48.4%62 W · 66 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Slovenia	57c	19.99$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.6	423	52%220 W · 203 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f1a…7c47backed Slovenia	58c	19.99$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.4	263	54.8%144 W · 119 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Croatia (-1.5)this page
Croatia vs. Slovenia: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Croatia vs. Slovenia: O/U 0.5Over won
Croatia vs. Slovenia: O/U 1.5Over won
Croatia vs. Slovenia: O/U 2.5Over won
Croatia vs. Slovenia: O/U 3.5Under won
Croatia vs. Slovenia: O/U 4.5Under won
Croatia vs. Slovenia: O/U 5.5Under won
Spread: Croatia (-2.5)Slovenia won
Spread: Slovenia (-1.5)Croatia won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Croatia (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event