Asian League · resolved market
Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb400a488e60a8f391f2fca15bfc4025e7e9ef3695d738acd60f3e1741684335e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,821
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,599
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,821 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 47c | 599.99$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.99 | 196 | 33.2%65 W · 131 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 16c | 468.75$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf714…0289backed Over | 54c | 318$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742b…be72backed Over | 54c | 251$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f5…950fbacked Over | 54c | 242$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 79c | 234.81$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.35 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eee…3bacbacked Over | 54c | 222$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ae…84e5backed Under | 46c | 217$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4703…fc36backed Under | 46c | 216$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9f…6a18backed Over | 54c | 214$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e7…33a4backed Over | 54c | 211$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x509b…aefabacked Under | 46c | 206$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33a…0971backed Over | 54c | 203$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 54c | 199.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -13.1wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4c…a9eebacked Under | 46c | 190$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8307…ce8dbacked Over | 54c | 184$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ad…5b50backed Under | 46c | 178$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1921…aa67backed Under | 46c | 172$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cea…796dbacked Under | 46c | 168$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef9…42b3backed Under | 46c | 156$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3378…78d2backed Under | 46c | 117$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfe…b408backed Under | 46c | 113$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…40c1backed Under | 46c | 112$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x270c…f377backed Under | 78c | 75.92$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.79 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 76cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 47c | 65.94$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.74 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 27c | 50.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 45c | 32.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 71c | 29.42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Under | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 62c | 26.2$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Over | 48c | 21.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…b088backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 53c | 19.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 245 | 48.6%119 W · 126 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 3.5this page
- Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Under won
- Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Fateh Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Fateh Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.