TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Al Fateh Saudi Clubof Al Hilal Saudi Club, Al Fateh Saudi Club
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,201

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,201 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Al Hilal Saudi Club60c1,185$714 inLost-$713.875,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Al Fateh Saudi Club40c800$320 inWon+$48019633.2%65 W · 131 L-11.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Al Fateh Saudi Club38c687.24$261 inWon+$426.094528.9%13 W · 32 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7a1…5c00backed Al Fateh Saudi Club42c454$191 inWon+$263.322100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick59cpaid+85.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb1a…c6cfbacked Al Fateh Saudi Club42c421$177 inWon+$244.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x803c…6efbbacked Al Fateh Saudi Club42c409$172 inWon+$237.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10c1…66c8backed Al Fateh Saudi Club42c345$145 inWon+$200.1250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a41…cda7backed Al Fateh Saudi Club42c330$139 inWon+$191.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x681d…b6fbbacked Al Hilal Saudi Club58c322$187 inLost-$186.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa475…ce69backed Al Hilal Saudi Club58c308$179 inLost-$178.6420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7920…8272backed Al Fateh Saudi Club42c302$127 inWon+$175.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x505b…93bebacked Al Hilal Saudi Club58c292$169 inLost-$169.3620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x42fe…d6f4backed Al Hilal Saudi Club58c288$167 inLost-$167.04250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4bb…594dbacked Al Fateh Saudi Club42c285$120 inWon+$165.3250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e2e…c7ebbacked Al Hilal Saudi Club58c285$165 inLost-$165.310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x650d…2812backed Al Hilal Saudi Club58c283$164 inLost-$164.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x354c…219cbacked Al Fateh Saudi Club42c258$108 inWon+$149.64250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid+19%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7be6…695ebacked Al Hilal Saudi Club58c251$146 inLost-$145.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb540…6bcfbacked Al Hilal Saudi Club58c212$123 inLost-$122.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4d0…6d0bbacked Al Hilal Saudi Club58c211$122 inLost-$122.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa084…4b19backed Al Hilal Saudi Club58c200$116 inLost-$11610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x220b…76c6backed Al Fateh Saudi Club42c194$81 inWon+$112.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2404…938cbacked Al Hilal Saudi Club58c175$102 inLost-$101.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47d7…9907backed Al Hilal Saudi Club58c171$99 inLost-$99.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a67…5d96backed Al Hilal Saudi Club63c159.03$100 inLost-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcdad…9eaebacked Al Hilal Saudi Club58c104$60 inLost-$60.321729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Al Fateh Saudi Club42c104$44 inWon+$60.421,35645.5%617 W · 739 L+15.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc21d…727ebacked Al Hilal Saudi Club40c81.2$33 inLost-$32.861957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0bb…049fbacked Al Fateh Saudi Club56c44.02$25 inWon+$19.36666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+26.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Al Hilal Saudi Club63c41.41$26 inLost-$26.0912551.2%64 W · 61 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Al Fateh Saudi Club42c31$13 inWon+$17.9821449.1%105 W · 109 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b5c…ab22backed Al Hilal Saudi Club58c30$17 inLost-$17.41050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Al Hilal Saudi Club53c23.71$13 inLost-$12.567170.4%50 W · 21 L+11.0wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+28%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Al Hilal Saudi Club56c23.47$13 inLost-$13.191,30956.8%743 W · 566 L+66.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Al Fateh Saudi Club61c17.45$11 inWon+$6.793737.8%14 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.