Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3de95167f0a01f6b6d5100eb459861d848bfe2bdffac3f0e8a3a742cd1383da4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Al Fateh Saudi Clubof Al Hilal Saudi Club, Al Fateh Saudi Club
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,876
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,892
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,876 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e35…34d2backed Al Fateh Saudi Club | 61c | 489$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e6…5f55backed Al Hilal Saudi Club | 38c | 441$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf98…f2b6backed Al Hilal Saudi Club | 38c | 428$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x111f…ea7bbacked Al Hilal Saudi Club | 38c | 367$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebaa…0fa8backed Al Hilal Saudi Club | 38c | 322$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x504b…9294backed Al Fateh Saudi Club | 62c | 304$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +159.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7213…6835backed Al Fateh Saudi Club | 62c | 298$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72dc…c790backed Al Fateh Saudi Club | 62c | 295$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc5…74efbacked Al Hilal Saudi Club | 38c | 291$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1da4…07abbacked Al Hilal Saudi Club | 38c | 282$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0c…217cbacked Al Fateh Saudi Club | 62c | 275$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 69cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8f…0797backed Al Hilal Saudi Club | 34c | 275$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c39…aa0cbacked Al Hilal Saudi Club | 38c | 274$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd438…ce1abacked Al Hilal Saudi Club | 38c | 271$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b27…80f2backed Al Fateh Saudi Club | 62c | 270$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842e…cc18backed Al Fateh Saudi Club | 66c | 266$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55cd…f8d8backed Al Fateh Saudi Club | 66c | 263$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 56cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4efe…0218backed Al Hilal Saudi Club | 38c | 257$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x218f…0618backed Al Fateh Saudi Club | 66c | 254$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Al Hilal Saudi Club | 7c | 246.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa269…82acbacked Al Fateh Saudi Club | 62c | 246$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +127.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b3…a2f3backed Al Fateh Saudi Club | 66c | 243$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +132%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc4d…3ab8backed Al Fateh Saudi Club | 62c | 240$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb528…00c0backed Al Hilal Saudi Club | 38c | 239$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ba…8864backed Al Hilal Saudi Club | 34c | 236$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5da…2bf4backed Al Hilal Saudi Club | 34c | 232$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d0…52ddbacked Al Fateh Saudi Club | 66c | 231$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fed…cfa3backed Al Fateh Saudi Club | 66c | 230$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0443…99cfbacked Al Fateh Saudi Club | 66c | 225$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6a…39aabacked Al Hilal Saudi Club | 38c | 222$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a87…b810backed Al Fateh Saudi Club | 61c | 222$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +160.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf2…fe7abacked Al Fateh Saudi Club | 62c | 219$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3baf…21b4backed Al Fateh Saudi Club | 62c | 212$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9436…1ed5backed Al Fateh Saudi Club | 62c | 203$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ea…57e8backed Al Hilal Saudi Club | 38c | 202$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7981…fd97backed Al Hilal Saudi Club | 34c | 188$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x465a…8aacbacked Al Fateh Saudi Club | 62c | 187$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca37…dbb9backed Al Hilal Saudi Club | 34c | 186$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e29…7065backed Al Fateh Saudi Club | 66c | 186$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65db…62d3backed Al Fateh Saudi Club | 66c | 176$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa155…3414backed Al Fateh Saudi Club | 62c | 172$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fdb…364cbacked Al Hilal Saudi Club | 39c | 171$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x317b…b81cbacked Al Fateh Saudi Club | 62c | 170$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcab6…4197backed Al Hilal Saudi Club | 34c | 167$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b34…c607backed Al Fateh Saudi Club | 62c | 166$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…bcc7backed Al Fateh Saudi Club | 62c | 164$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd07c…e4e0backed Al Hilal Saudi Club | 34c | 158$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x613e…c5f8backed Al Hilal Saudi Club | 39c | 149$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8a…7604backed Al Hilal Saudi Club | 34c | 144$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb14d…6a54backed Al Hilal Saudi Club | 34c | 141$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b08dbacked Al Hilal Saudi Club | 34c | 139$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa475…ce69backed Al Hilal Saudi Club | 34c | 121$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0d…3855backed Al Hilal Saudi Club | 39c | 114$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd1…c961backed Al Hilal Saudi Club | 39c | 102$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…b108backed Al Hilal Saudi Club | 34c | 87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Al Fateh Saudi Club | 63c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Al Fateh Saudi Club | 62c | 34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 225 | 55.1%124 W · 101 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Al Hilal Saudi Club | 37c | 33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Al Hilal Saudi Club | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-2.5)this page
- Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Under won
- Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Fateh Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.