La Liga · resolved market
Villarreal CF vs. Valencia CF: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x516a0bb37f210c6ffa7a1a52a82b8ee69d8ac28ba94827bab5f3b4a1f7eb277c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $110,259
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,156
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,259 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x548c…9d1fbacked Over | 30c | 27,066$8,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,120.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66e1…0f14backed Over | 30c | 27,009$8,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,103.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2795…fd6bbacked Under | 54c | 6,489$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,988.81 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5677…2ce9backed Over | 79c | 6,155$4,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,862.44 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 19c | 5,543$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.83 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 38c | 4,729$1,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,914.13 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ddb…b423backed Under | 45c | 3,271$1,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,795.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11a7…2c03backed Under | 77c | 3,223$2,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.29 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf42d…b35cbacked Over | 58c | 2,334$1,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 50c | 1,290$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.46 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d59…811bbacked Over | 2c | 1,028$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 191 | 30.4%58 W · 133 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ff…81a0backed Over | 55c | 999.97$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.98 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 70c | 922.4$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.72 | 504 | 49.8%251 W · 253 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Over | 36c | 823.67$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Under | 52c | 668.23$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.23 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 30c | 588.31$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.49 | 113 | 36.3%41 W · 72 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…c865backed Under | 70c | 571.97$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…d4debacked Over | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 18c | 532.52$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.6 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 317 | 45.7%145 W · 172 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…0beebacked Over | 55c | 435.9$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +6.8wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Over | 50c | 399.99$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.99 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Over | 50c | 379$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.12 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 30c | 372.62$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.93 | 129 | 25.6%33 W · 96 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 50c | 354.38$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.46 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0965…da73backed Under | 58c | 347.72$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.72 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 36c | 337.12$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.73 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 58c | 325.77$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 378 | 29.4%111 W · 267 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Over | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 119 | 29.4%35 W · 84 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf141…77f4backed Over | 61c | 288.08$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x782e…b317backed Over | 48c | 277.08$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 37c | 273.98$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.47 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 79c | 254.23$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.84 | 128 | 75%96 W · 32 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Over | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Over | 69c | 223.01$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d3…9af1backed Under | 70c | 217$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +37%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Over | 30c | 187.67$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.3 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Over | 29c | 168$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.72 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 114 | 27.2%31 W · 83 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b7…37d5backed Over | 24c | 166.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +5.5wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9a…412ebacked Over | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a42…2a7ebacked Over | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 29c | 147.97$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.13 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7e…6be6backed Under | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over | 55c | 140$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 340 | 50%170 W · 170 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…5540backed Over | 45c | 133.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4208…13febacked Under | 34c | 128.91$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.91 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +126.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f03…dc32backed Over | 51c | 122.69$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…d343backed Over | 50c | 120.1$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c1…185cbacked Under | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 52c | 107.66$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.75 | 181 | 52.5%95 W · 86 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Over | 30c | 106.67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 148 | 50.7%75 W · 73 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed Over | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c30…0ac6backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +42%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1835…83afbacked Over | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Over | 30c | 98.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.66 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 24cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea72…d821backed Under | 70c | 97.18$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.9 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf226…9c0fbacked Over | 56c | 94.57$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.96 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 34c | 90$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Over | 57c | 88.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 116 | 51.7%60 W · 56 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed Over | 35c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25ef…8e6fbacked Over | 31c | 77.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7db0…f397backed Over | 40c | 77$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1a…d5a3backed Over | 26c | 76.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.31 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 33c | 73.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 142 | 59.9%85 W · 57 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 174 | 55.2%96 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 70c | 71.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 321 | 45.8%147 W · 174 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 42c | 70.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +9.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3798…2e72backed Over | 30c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b39…c496backed Under | 73c | 68.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 30c | 68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.64 | 192 | 47.4%91 W · 101 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Over | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 140 | 28.6%40 W · 100 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9df0…9a65backed Under | 58c | 62.06$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.88 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Over | 25c | 58.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c77…8f06backed Under | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf174…d052backed Over | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96d4…994cbacked Over | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 30cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc960…00c8backed Under | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72bd…d37abacked Under | 71c | 49.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 30c | 48.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.74 | 411 | 47.9%197 W · 214 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 77c | 48$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 154 | 43.5%67 W · 87 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…d938backed Over | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x024f…5857backed Over | 50c | 45.8$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6e…cd39backed Over | 80c | 43.94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 51c | 43.21$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 70c | 43.21$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 428 | 51.4%220 W · 208 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6c…a67dbacked Under | 66c | 41.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.18 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 432 | 55.6%240 W · 192 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab90…5793backed Over | 74c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd265…a7ecbacked Over | 26c | 39.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -6.0wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -65%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e40…7d1fbacked Over | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b98…aa35backed Under | 42c | 37.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.65 | 65 | 61.5%40 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Villarreal CF vs. Valencia CF: O/U 3.5this page
- Villarreal CF vs. Valencia CF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Villarreal CF vs. Valencia CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Villarreal CF vs. Valencia CF: O/U 2.5Over won
- Villarreal CF vs. Valencia CF: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.