Tennis · resolved market
Santiago: Santiago Rodriguez Taverna vs Bastian Malla
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6dc4d8cd3a8eeacf806a2f4354a8f981c6575e40ac0e2247e8e46dceaff103f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Santiago Rodriguez Tavernaof Santiago Rodriguez Taverna, Bastian Malla
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,651
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,604
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,651 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Bastian Malla | 13c | 3,594$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.79 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 62c | 2,680$1,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.87 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ce…99f6backed Bastian Malla | 22c | 2,281$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 179 | 36.9%66 W · 113 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6de0…f7f1backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 66c | 1,518$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.03 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Bastian Malla | 37c | 866.58$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.3 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 61c | 631.39$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.84 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Bastian Malla | 40c | 614.03$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.61 | 350 | 40.9%143 W · 207 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Bastian Malla | 37c | 527.21$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.56 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 72c | 508.05$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.14 | 305 | 30.8%94 W · 211 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Bastian Malla | 39c | 484.8$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.07 | 971 | 41.4%402 W · 569 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 62c | 468.73$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.07 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 61c | 453.82$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.56 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Bastian Malla | 15c | 448.03$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.36 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Bastian Malla | 37c | 405.41$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…76a4backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 47c | 379$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.91 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdad9…c300backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 73c | 331.12$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.42 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -9.0wins | -0.12per pick | 61cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 72c | 329.14$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.95 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…8ba0backed Bastian Malla | 25c | 321.21$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.52 | 328 | 37.5%123 W · 205 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Bastian Malla | 38c | 263.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Bastian Malla | 31c | 253.71$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.94 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0754…5c8bbacked Bastian Malla | 37c | 250$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 62c | 218.55$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.15 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bastian Malla | 38c | 207$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.77 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…404dbacked Bastian Malla | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Bastian Malla | 37c | 195$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.15 | 990 | 56%554 W · 436 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Bastian Malla | 39c | 190.6$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.33 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Bastian Malla | 40c | 179.5$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.8 | 328 | 42.7%140 W · 188 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Bastian Malla | 40c | 173$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.43 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…f64abacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 61c | 163.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.25 | 849 | 63.1%536 W · 313 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Bastian Malla | 37c | 143$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.91 | 857 | 48.2%413 W · 444 L | +33.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Bastian Malla | 36c | 130$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.14 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Bastian Malla | 37c | 125$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.25 | 138 | 47.8%66 W · 72 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Bastian Malla | 38c | 120$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.86 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bastian Malla | 12c | 114.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…a5eebacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 63c | 106.74$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.8 | 599 | 54.9%329 W · 270 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Bastian Malla | 27c | 102.3$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.03 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ace…3afdbacked Bastian Malla | 40c | 101$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Bastian Malla | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1986…0cd0backed Bastian Malla | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Bastian Malla | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 308 | 44.5%137 W · 171 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 60c | 91.39$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.38 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Bastian Malla | 37c | 81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Bastian Malla | 47c | 72.19$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.16 | 572 | 52.3%299 W · 273 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Bastian Malla | 40c | 71.7$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.68 | 326 | 49.1%160 W · 166 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x537a…7447backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 58c | 67.67$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.75 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Bastian Malla | 37c | 60.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +109.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 62c | 60.17$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.09 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Bastian Malla | 25c | 57.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf48e…1e01backed Bastian Malla | 39c | 55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…f163backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 63c | 54.58$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 398 | 72.4%288 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Bastian Malla | 39c | 53.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 381 | 47%179 W · 202 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Bastian Malla | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Bastian Malla | 35c | 45.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Bastian Malla | 28c | 40.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 384 | 60.4%232 W · 152 L | +29.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…77eebacked Bastian Malla | 40c | 40.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 819 | 33.1%271 W · 548 L | -30.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc03c…3138backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 66c | 24.93$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -7.7wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -32%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ea…2aacbacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 77c | 21.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 174 | 58.6%102 W · 72 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 80c | 20.76$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8161…e08ebacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 66c | 19.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4139…8622backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Santiago: Santiago Rodriguez Taverna vs Bastian Mallathis page
- Santiago Rodriguez Taverna vs. Bastian Malla: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Taverna vs. Malla: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Over won
- Taverna vs. Malla: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Taverna vs. Malla: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.